Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile: match statistics
Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Univ. Concepción played Universidad Chile in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Univ. Concepción: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Universidad Chile: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Univ. Concepción scores 0.74 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Universidad Chile scores 1.35 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Univ. Concepción 42%, Universidad Chile 45%. Over 2.5: Univ. Concepción 47%, Universidad Chile 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Chile has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.41. Univ. Concepción: 13.1 shots per match, Universidad Chile: 14.5.
Match halves
Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.37. Universidad Chile: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (3 goals). Universidad Chile: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Universidad Chile enter the match as league runners-up, with a record of 10 wins from 20 games, while Univ. Concepción sit 15th and have won just 5 times. Recent form clearly favors the visitors: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4, whereas the hosts have lost all 5 of their most recent fixtures, scoring just 2 goals. Univ. Concepción average only 0.67 goals per home match and fail to score in 44% of their games, despite creating chances worth an average of 1.51 xG; their main issue is an extremely low shot-conversion rate of 5%. Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 0.8 goals, keep a clean sheet in 40% of matches and have a higher conversion rate of 8%. The hosts can be competitive at their own stadium, where they have won 44% of their matches, but their disastrous current run and Universidad Chile’s defensive advantage point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Univ. Concepción’s very poor current scoring record, with only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game. Universidad Chile have conceded just 0.8 goals per match over this period, with an average xG against of 0.91, and have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season. The hosts have failed to score in 10% of all their games this season, while their last 5 matches produced BTTS in only 40% of cases. The visitors are in considerably better offensive form, averaging 1.8 goals and an xG of 2.34 across their last five appearances, so they may find the net; however, this does not offset the high risk of the hosts drawing a blank. The teams’ seasonal BTTS figures—50% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors—are also below the league average of 54%, further supporting the BTTS - No scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Universidad Chile are in clearly better form: they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 per game, while their average xG was a very high 2.34. The hosts have scored just 2 goals over the same period, or 0.4 per match, despite recording an average xG of 1.20. The visitors’ defence remains solid, conceding 4 goals in their last five appearances and allowing opponents an xG of just 0.91, which limits the hosts’ attacking potential. Historically, both teams have finished below 3.5 goals in 80% of their meetings, and neither side has recorded a match with more than 4 goals. The projected total of 2.20 goals therefore points to a clear preference for Under 3.5 goals, even with the visitors currently showing good attacking form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Universidad Chile come into the match having won 4 of their last 5 fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, while Univ. Concepción have lost all 5 of their matches, scoring only 0.4 goals per game. The first-half indicators are particularly strong: the hosts have been trailing at the break in each of their last five appearances, whereas the visitors have not been behind after 45 minutes on any occasion and have averaged 1.0 goal in that period. Universidad Chile also have the stronger current defensive record before half-time, conceding 0.4 goals compared with 1.6 for the hosts. Although Univ. Concepción’s full-season home figures are solid, their current form and the visitors’ advantage over the last five matches point primarily to an HT/FT outcome of 2/2: Universidad Chile to lead at the break and maintain their winning position through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Univ. Concepción | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Chile is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.35 goals / match - Universidad Chile
Universidad Chile is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 0.75 goals / match - Universidad Chile
Univ. Concepción scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Universidad Chile keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Universidad Chile scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
Over / Under - Universidad Chile
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universidad Chile is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.55 pts / match - Universidad Chile
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Universidad Chile - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Univ. Concepción
Universidad Chile
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Univ. Concepción | Liga | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 73% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Universidad ChileSubstitutionOn: Ignacio Antonio Vásquez GonzálezOff: Maximiliano Gabriel Guerrero Pena
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Univ. Concepción 0 - 1 - 0 Universidad Chile. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile?
The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 2:1 Universidad Chile. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile?
Univ. Concepción score 0.74 goals per game on average and Universidad Chile 1.35. The Primera División average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 45% of Universidad Chile's.
What form are Univ. Concepción and Universidad Chile in?
Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Universidad Chile 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile?
The statistical background for Univ. Concepción vs Universidad Chile — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.