Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso: match statistics
Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Universitario play Deportivo Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 03:30. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Universitario: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Universitario scores 1.44 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.17 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Universitario 56%, Deportivo Garcilaso 50%. Over 2.5: Universitario 50%, Deportivo Garcilaso 33%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Universitario has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.25. Universitario: 14.7 shots per match, Deportivo Garcilaso: 11.6.
Match halves
Universitario: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Deportivo Garcilaso: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Universitario: 16-30 (7 goals). Deportivo Garcilaso: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Universitario holds a clear home advantage: they have won 100% of home matches (5/5), averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per game, with 80% of home fixtures ending in a clean sheet. Deportivo Garcilaso struggle offensively on the road — averaging 0.4 goals per away match, failing to score in 60% of away games and keeping only 20% clean sheets, while conceding an average of 1.0 goals away. Although both teams’ xG figures are similar (Universitario xG 1.56 at home vs Garcilaso xG 1.42 away), the hosts convert far more efficiently (11% conversion rate vs 3% for the visitors), which translates into material differences in actual goals (1.6 vs 0.4). Form further supports the home favoritism: Universitario are on a 'wwwww' run in their last 5 home matches, whereas Garcilaso away display 'dlldl' and have overall 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5. Based on this, I forecast a home win, estimating 70% probability for Universitario, 20% for a draw and 10% for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Universitario | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Universitario · 2 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universitario is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Universitario · 1.17 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Universitario · 1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Universitario keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Universitario
Over / Under — Deportivo Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universitario is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Universitario · 1.33 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Universitario - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Universitario | Liga | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 65% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Universitario 1 - 1 - 0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished Universitario 4:1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Universitario and Deportivo Garcilaso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Universitario won 1, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Universitario score 1.44 goals per game on average and Deportivo Garcilaso 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Universitario's matches and 50% of Deportivo Garcilaso's.
What form are Universitario and Deportivo Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games Universitario have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Garcilaso 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.