UPDF vs Entebbe UPPC: match statistics
Entebbe UPPC demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors sit in 5th place in the table with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while UPDF occupies a distant 13th place with just 3 wins. A key factor is Entebbe UPPC's excellent away form—60% wins on the road, unbeaten in the last 5 away matches (form: dwwdw), and an impressive 0% FTS rate (they always score goals). Conversely, UPDF has poor home form with 60% losses at home and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1 goal per match while scoring only 0.8. Additionally, Entebbe UPPC's away goal difference (+5) compared to UPDF's home goal difference (-1) and the advantage in average points per match (2.6 vs 1.0 in the last 5 games) unequivocally point to an away win.
UPDF vs Entebbe UPPC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF played Entebbe UPPC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
UPDF: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Entebbe UPPC: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Entebbe UPPC scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 50%, Entebbe UPPC 33%. Over 2.5: UPDF 50%, Entebbe UPPC 17%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Entebbe UPPC has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.50. UPDF: 10.5 shots per match, Entebbe UPPC: 3.1.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.58. Entebbe UPPC: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 46-60 (4 goals). Entebbe UPPC: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Entebbe UPPC demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors sit in 5th place in the table with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while UPDF occupies a distant 13th place with just 3 wins. A key factor is Entebbe UPPC's excellent away form—60% wins on the road, unbeaten in the last 5 away matches (form: dwwdw), and an impressive 0% FTS rate (they always score goals). Conversely, UPDF has poor home form with 60% losses at home and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1 goal per match while scoring only 0.8. Additionally, Entebbe UPPC's away goal difference (+5) compared to UPDF's home goal difference (-1) and the advantage in average points per match (2.6 vs 1.0 in the last 5 games) unequivocally point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | Entebbe UPPC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | -6% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.56 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Entebbe UPPC is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - UPDF · 2.6 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Entebbe UPPC is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - UPDF · 1.25 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - UPDF · 0.75 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC
UPDF scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Entebbe UPPC keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Entebbe UPPC scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UPDF
Over / Under - Entebbe UPPC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Entebbe UPPC is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - UPDF · 1.17 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Entebbe UPPC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | Entebbe UPPC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 17% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs Entebbe UPPC?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:1 Entebbe UPPC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs Entebbe UPPC?
UPDF score 1.00 goals per game on average and Entebbe UPPC 1.25. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of UPDF's matches and 33% of Entebbe UPPC's.
What form are UPDF and Entebbe UPPC in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Entebbe UPPC 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs Entebbe UPPC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.