UPDF vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

UPDF played NEC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 16 December 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

UPDF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. NEC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

UPDF scores 1.10 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. NEC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UPDF 50%, NEC 70%. Over 2.5: UPDF 50%, NEC 30%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

NEC has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.49. UPDF: 10.0 shots per match, NEC: 9.2.

Match halves

UPDF: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. NEC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

UPDF: 46-60 (4 goals). NEC: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
UPDFNEC
14Shots3
UPDFNEC
0Shots on target3
UPDFNEC
1.44xG0.95
UPDFNEC
0Corners4
UPDFNEC
77Dangerous attacks75
UPDFNEC
19Fouls18
UPDFNEC
0Cards0
UPDFNEC

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.1Goals scored / match1
UPDFNEC
1.6Goals conceded / match1.1
UPDFNEC
46%Average possession42%
UPDFNEC
2.9Shots on target / match2.4
UPDFNEC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match9.2
UPDFNEC
2.9Shots on target2.4
UPDFNEC
11%Shot conversion10.9%
UPDFNEC
46%Possession42%
UPDFNEC
1.49xG for1.52
UPDFNEC
1.26xG against1.48
UPDFNEC

Shooting quality

UPDF: BalancedNEC: Balanced
UPDFNEC
Accuracy (shots on target)29%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UPDF is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - UPDF · 1 pts / match - NEC

UPDF
WLLWD
Season result split
30% W10% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
NEC
LWDDL
Season result split
20% W50% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-3
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

UPDF is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - UPDF · 1 goals / match - NEC

NEC is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - UPDF · 1.1 goals / match - NEC

UPDF scoring profile: very strong

UPDF scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)10
UPDFNEC
16Goals conceded (season)11
UPDFNEC
2.7Average goals in match2.1
UPDFNEC
6Goals scored (last 5)5
UPDFNEC
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
UPDFNEC

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal90%
UPDFNEC
30%2 goals10%
UPDFNEC
0%3 goals0%
UPDFNEC
0%4 goals0%
UPDFNEC

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal80%
UPDFNEC
50%2 goals30%
UPDFNEC
20%3 goals0%
UPDFNEC
10%4 goals0%
UPDFNEC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time10%
UPDFNEC
20%BTTS in both halves0%
UPDFNEC
30%Scored in both halves10%
UPDFNEC

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
UPDFNEC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
UPDFNEC
40%BTTS - last 580%
UPDFNEC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
UPDFNEC
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
UPDFNEC
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
UPDFNEC

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
UPDFNEC
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
UPDFNEC
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
UPDFNEC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NEC is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - UPDF · 1.5 pts / match - NEC

UPDF - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
NEC - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.5
UPDFNEC
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.4
UPDFNEC
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
UPDFNEC
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.6
UPDFNEC
50%Clean sheet before half-time80%
UPDFNEC
50%No goal before half-time60%
UPDFNEC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1
UPDFNEC
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
UPDFNEC
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
UPDFNEC
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.4
UPDFNEC
50%Clean sheet after half-time40%
UPDFNEC
40%No goal after half-time40%
UPDFNEC

UPDF - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NEC - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
15
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
5
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

NEC
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
168%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

UPDFLigaNEC
Average goals in match▲ 2.702.44▼ 2.10
Both teams scored• 50%51%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%44%▼ 30%
Clean sheets• 30%30%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%61%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%62%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
0.95
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of UPDF vs NEC?

The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 0:0 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs NEC?

UPDF score 1.10 goals per game on average and NEC 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of UPDF's matches and 70% of NEC's.

What form are UPDF and NEC in?

Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and NEC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs NEC?

The statistical background for UPDF vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.