UPDF vs URA: match statistics
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UPDF vs URA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: Bombo Stadium.
Current form
UPDF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. URA: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.67 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. URA scores 0.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 33%, URA 40%. Over 2.5: UPDF 33%, URA 40%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
UPDF has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.23. UPDF: 7.0 shots per match, URA: 6.6.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00. URA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 0-15 (2 goals). URA: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | URA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UPDF is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - UPDF · 0.8 pts / match - URA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UPDF is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - UPDF · 0.6 goals / match - URA
UPDF is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - UPDF · 1.4 goals / match - URA
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
URA scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UPDF
Over / Under - URA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UPDF is 318% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - UPDF · 0.4 pts / match - URA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
URA - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
URA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | URA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.16 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 39% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): UPDF 0 - 1 - 1 URA. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do UPDF and URA play?
UPDF face URA on 27 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Bombo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between UPDF and URA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches UPDF won 0, URA won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs URA?
UPDF score 0.67 goals per game on average and URA 0.60. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 33% of UPDF's matches and 40% of URA's.
What form are UPDF and URA in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and URA 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs URA?
The statistical background for UPDF vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.