Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 13 October 2026

URA vs Entebbe UPPC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

URA vs Entebbe UPPC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

URA play Entebbe UPPC in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 15 October 2026.

Current form

URA: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. Entebbe UPPC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

URA scores 0.75 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Entebbe UPPC scores 1.20 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: URA 50%, Entebbe UPPC 20%. Over 2.5: URA 50%, Entebbe UPPC 40%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Entebbe UPPC has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.24. URA: 7.0 shots per match, Entebbe UPPC: 10.4.

Match halves

URA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Entebbe UPPC: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

URA: 76-90+ (2 goals). Entebbe UPPC: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.75Goals scored / match1.2
URAEntebbe UPPC
1.75Goals conceded / match0.4
URAEntebbe UPPC
60%Average possession50%
URAEntebbe UPPC
2.75Shots on target / match4.6
URAEntebbe UPPC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match10.4
URAEntebbe UPPC
2.75Shots on target4.6
URAEntebbe UPPC
10.7%Shot conversion11.5%
URAEntebbe UPPC
60%Possession50%
URAEntebbe UPPC
1.24xG for1.59
URAEntebbe UPPC
1.3xG against1.13
URAEntebbe UPPC

Shooting quality

URA: BalancedEntebbe UPPC: Balanced
URAEntebbe UPPC
Accuracy (shots on target)39%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Entebbe UPPC is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.75 pts / match - URA · 2 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC

URA
WLLL
Season result split
25% W0% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-3
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-3
0.75 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Entebbe UPPC
WWLDW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Entebbe UPPC is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - URA · 1.2 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC

Entebbe UPPC is 338% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - URA · 0.4 goals / match - Entebbe UPPC

URA scoring profile: more difficult

URA scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Entebbe UPPC keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

Entebbe UPPC scoring profile: very strong

Entebbe UPPC scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

3Goals scored (season)6
URAEntebbe UPPC
7Goals conceded (season)2
URAEntebbe UPPC
2.5Average goals in match1.6
URAEntebbe UPPC
3Goals scored (last 5)6
URAEntebbe UPPC
7Goals conceded (last 5)2
URAEntebbe UPPC

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal60%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%2 goals40%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%3 goals20%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%4 goals0%
URAEntebbe UPPC

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal40%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%2 goals0%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%3 goals0%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%4 goals0%
URAEntebbe UPPC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time20%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%Scored in both halves40%
URAEntebbe UPPC

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
URAEntebbe UPPC
50%BTTS - last 520%
URAEntebbe UPPC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
URAEntebbe UPPC

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
URAEntebbe UPPC
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
URAEntebbe UPPC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Entebbe UPPC is 620% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.25 pts / match - URA · 1.8 pts / match - Entebbe UPPC

URA - half-time state
0% leading25% draw75% trailing
Entebbe UPPC - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.25Points per match (1st half)1.8
URAEntebbe UPPC
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.8
URAEntebbe UPPC
1.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
URAEntebbe UPPC
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
URAEntebbe UPPC
25%Clean sheet before half-time80%
URAEntebbe UPPC
75%No goal before half-time40%
URAEntebbe UPPC

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.6
URAEntebbe UPPC
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
URAEntebbe UPPC
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.2
URAEntebbe UPPC
1Average goals (2nd half)0.6
URAEntebbe UPPC
50%Clean sheet after half-time80%
URAEntebbe UPPC
75%No goal after half-time60%
URAEntebbe UPPC

URA - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.25
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Entebbe UPPC - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

URA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.251.00
Goals scored / match0.30.5
Goals conceded / match1.30.5
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals25%25%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet25%50%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 25% draw - 75% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 1
Entebbe UPPC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

URA
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Entebbe UPPC
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

URA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
208%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Entebbe UPPC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
33%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

URALigaEntebbe UPPC
Average goals in match▲ 2.502.05▼ 1.60
Both teams scored▲ 50%37%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%40%• 40%
Clean sheets▼ 0%38%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%56%▲ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%67%▼ 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): URA 0 - 1 - 1 Entebbe UPPC. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do URA and Entebbe UPPC play?

URA face Entebbe UPPC on 15 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between URA and Entebbe UPPC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches URA won 0, Entebbe UPPC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before URA vs Entebbe UPPC?

URA score 0.75 goals per game on average and Entebbe UPPC 1.20. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of URA's matches and 20% of Entebbe UPPC's.

What form are URA and Entebbe UPPC in?

Over the last 5 games URA have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Entebbe UPPC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for URA vs Entebbe UPPC?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.