URA vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

URA played Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 4 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

URA: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kitara: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

URA scores 1.63 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.57 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: URA 63%, Kitara 43%. Over 2.5: URA 38%, Kitara 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

URA has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.63. URA: 11.6 shots per match, Kitara: 11.9.

Match halves

URA: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88. Kitara: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

URA: 31-45+ (4 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

62Possession (%)38
URAKitara
9Shots2
URAKitara
5Shots on target0
URAKitara
0xG0
URAKitara
10Corners2
URAKitara
0Dangerous attacks0
URAKitara
17Fouls13
URAKitara
0Cards0
URAKitara

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.63Goals scored / match1.57
URAKitara
1.13Goals conceded / match0.86
URAKitara
50%Average possession49%
URAKitara
5.38Shots on target / match4.71
URAKitara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.63Shots per match11.86
URAKitara
5.38Shots on target4.71
URAKitara
14%Shot conversion13.3%
URAKitara
50%Possession49%
URAKitara
1.71xG for1.63
URAKitara
1.57xG against1.38
URAKitara

Shooting quality

URA: Efficient finishingKitara: Efficient finishing
URAKitara
Accuracy (shots on target)46%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kitara is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - URA · 2.4 pts / match - Kitara

URA
DWDLW
Season result split
25% W63% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-1
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
DDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Kitara
WWLWW
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - URA · 0.86 goals / match - Kitara

URA scoring profile: strong

URA scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Kitara scoring profile: strong

Kitara scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

13Goals scored (season)11
URAKitara
9Goals conceded (season)6
URAKitara
2.75Average goals in match2.43
URAKitara
11Goals scored (last 5)10
URAKitara
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
URAKitara

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal71%
URAKitara
25%2 goals43%
URAKitara
25%3 goals29%
URAKitara
13%4 goals14%
URAKitara

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal71%
URAKitara
38%2 goals14%
URAKitara
13%3 goals0%
URAKitara
0%4 goals0%
URAKitara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time14%
URAKitara
13%BTTS in both halves14%
URAKitara
25%Scored in both halves43%
URAKitara

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
URAKitara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
URAKitara
60%BTTS - last 540%
URAKitara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
URAKitara
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
URAKitara
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
URAKitara

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
URAKitara
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
URAKitara
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
URAKitara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - URA · 2.43 pts / match - Kitara

URA - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Kitara - half-time state
71% leading29% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)2.43
URAKitara
0.75Goals scored (1st half)1
URAKitara
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
URAKitara
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.14
URAKitara
63%Clean sheet before half-time86%
URAKitara
63%No goal before half-time29%
URAKitara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)0.86
URAKitara
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
URAKitara
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
URAKitara
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.29
URAKitara
63%Clean sheet after half-time29%
URAKitara
50%No goal after half-time57%
URAKitara

URA - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kitara - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

URA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.80
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.20
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

URA
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

URA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 45% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

URALigaKitara
Average goals in match▲ 2.752.49• 2.43
Both teams scored▲ 63%51%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%46%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 38%30%• 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 63%58%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 63%60%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Patrick Kaddu⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KitaraGoalPatrick Kaddu

FAQ

What was the result of URA vs Kitara?

The Uganda Premier League match finished URA 0:1 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before URA vs Kitara?

URA score 1.63 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.57. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of URA's matches and 43% of Kitara's.

What form are URA and Kitara in?

Over the last 5 games URA have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kitara 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for URA vs Kitara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.