Urawa Reds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: match statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima enter the match as league runners-up and are on a run of 5 consecutive victories, while Urawa Reds have failed to win any of their last five matches, drawing 2 and losing 3. During this period, the visitors scored 14 goals, averaging 2.8 per match, and conceded just 3, indicating an excellent balance between attack and defence. Urawa have scored only 4 goals in their last five appearances and conceded 8, so they may struggle to contain an opponent in such strong form. In the current season, Hiroshima won their opening match 3:0, whereas Urawa lost 3:4, further strengthening the case for an away victory. Home advantage could allow the hosts to compete, but Sanfrecce’s clearly superior run of form and attacking efficiency point towards result 2.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in excellent form, having won their last five matches and scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game, while conceding just 0.6. Urawa Reds have managed only 0.8 goals per match during this period, losing three of their five games, with an average xG of 1.55 compared with 1.95 for the visitors. BTTS - Yes occurred in only 40% of the last five matches involving both teams, while Sanfrecce have allowed opponents just 0.98 xG per game. Although the league has a high BTTS rate of 70%, the combination of Urawa’s weak attack and the visitors’ highly resilient defence points more strongly towards a BTTS - No scenario, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in excellent form: they have won their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and allowing opponents just 0.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Urawa Reds scored only 0.8 goals, while the team’s average xG stood at 1.55 compared with 1.95 for the visitors. The hosts did concede 1.6 goals per match, but Sanfrecce’s solid defense limits Urawa’s realistic attacking potential to around 0.85 goals. In Urawa’s last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed only once, while the profile of this game points primarily to control by the visitors rather than an open, end-to-end contest. The 2.50-goal projection gives a clear edge to the Under 3.5 goals bet, as a result with four or more goals would require exceptionally high finishing efficiency from the hosts.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are showing clearly superior current form, having won all of their last five matches while averaging 2.8 goals scored and conceding just 0.6. The visitors were leading at the break in 100% of those games, whereas Urawa Reds have not led at half-time in any of their recent matches and were trailing at the break in 60% of them. Urawa have scored just 0.8 goals per game recently, including only 0.2 before half-time, while conceding an average of 1.6 goals over the full match. Hiroshima have also maintained a high level of effectiveness after the interval, averaging 1.4 goals scored in the second half and conceding only 0.2. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the visitors to lead at half-time and secure a full-time victory: 2/2.