Japan - J1 LeagueSaitama Stadium 2002Data current as of 21 October 2026

Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Urawa Reds play V-Varen Nagasaki in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Saitama Stadium 2002.

Current form

Urawa Reds: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Urawa Reds scores 1.70 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.10 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Urawa Reds 70%, V-Varen Nagasaki 60%. Over 2.5: Urawa Reds 80%, V-Varen Nagasaki 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Urawa Reds has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.30. Urawa Reds: 15.8 shots per match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.7.

Match halves

Urawa Reds: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70. V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Urawa Reds: 16-30 (5 goals). V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.7Goals scored / match1.1
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
2.1Goals conceded / match1.8
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
54%Average possession46%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
4Shots on target / match3.9
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.8Shots per match11.7
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
4Shots on target3.9
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
10.8%Shot conversion9.4%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
54%Possession46%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.68xG for1.3
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.49xG against1.61
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

Shooting quality

Urawa Reds: AttackingV-Varen Nagasaki: Balanced
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
Accuracy (shots on target)25%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Urawa Reds is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Urawa Reds · 1 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Urawa Reds
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-5
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
LWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
V-Varen Nagasaki
LWDDL
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Urawa Reds is 55% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Urawa Reds · 1.1 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.1 goals / match - Urawa Reds · 1.8 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Urawa Reds scoring profile: very strong

Urawa Reds scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: very strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Urawa Reds keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

17Goals scored (season)11
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
21Goals conceded (season)18
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
3.8Average goals in match2.9
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal70%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%2 goals40%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%3 goals0%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
0%4 goals0%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal90%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
70%2 goals50%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%3 goals30%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
20%4 goals10%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

60%BTTS at half-time0%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
30%Scored in both halves10%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%BTTS - last 560%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
70%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Urawa Reds - half-time state
20% leading50% draw30% trailing
V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
30% leading20% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1.1
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.2
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
40%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
20%No goal before half-time70%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)0.9
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.7
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
30%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki
60%No goal after half-time50%
Urawa RedsV-Varen Nagasaki

Urawa Reds - second-half results

30% W20% D50% L
11
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Urawa Reds - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Urawa Reds
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Urawa Reds

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
152%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Urawa RedsLigaV-Varen Nagasaki
Average goals in match▲ 3.802.92• 2.90
Both teams scored▲ 70%56%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%55%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 20%25%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%67%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%87%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Urawa Reds and V-Varen Nagasaki play?

Urawa Reds face V-Varen Nagasaki on 25 October 2026 in J1 League at Saitama Stadium 2002. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Urawa Reds score 1.70 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.10. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Urawa Reds's matches and 60% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.

What form are Urawa Reds and V-Varen Nagasaki in?

Over the last 5 games Urawa Reds have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

The statistical background for Urawa Reds vs V-Varen Nagasaki — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.