USM Alger vs ES Sétif: match statistics
USM Alger displays solid home form with 44% clean sheets and only 11% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in average ball possession (58% vs 47%) and a significantly better scoring efficiency at home (1.0 goals/match) compared to just 0.36 goals/match for ES Sétif in away matches. The visitors have a very poor away form with 64% defeats and as many as 64% of matches without a goal scored, which is confirmed by a goal difference of -11 in away matches. The high percentage of draws for USM Alger (67% in home matches) suggests a cautious style of play, but the clear statistical advantage over the away-struggling ES Sétif points towards a home victory. The difference in xG values (1.75 vs 1.16) further confirms the qualitative advantage of USM Alger in this encounter.
USM Alger vs ES Sétif: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
USM Alger played ES Sétif in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
USM Alger: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. ES Sétif: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
USM Alger scores 1.06 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. ES Sétif scores 1.00 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: USM Alger 56%, ES Sétif 50%. Over 2.5: USM Alger 28%, ES Sétif 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
USM Alger has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.31. USM Alger: 9.7 shots per match, ES Sétif: 9.6.
Match halves
USM Alger: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. ES Sétif: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
USM Alger: 76-90+ (5 goals). ES Sétif: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
USM Alger displays solid home form with 44% clean sheets and only 11% defeats at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in average ball possession (58% vs 47%) and a significantly better scoring efficiency at home (1.0 goals/match) compared to just 0.36 goals/match for ES Sétif in away matches. The visitors have a very poor away form with 64% defeats and as many as 64% of matches without a goal scored, which is confirmed by a goal difference of -11 in away matches. The high percentage of draws for USM Alger (67% in home matches) suggests a cautious style of play, but the clear statistical advantage over the away-struggling ES Sétif points towards a home victory. The difference in xG values (1.75 vs 1.16) further confirms the qualitative advantage of USM Alger in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| USM Alger | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ES Sétif is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - USM Alger · 1.4 pts / match - ES Sétif
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USM Alger is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - USM Alger · 1 goals / match - ES Sétif
USM Alger is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - USM Alger · 1.18 goals / match - ES Sétif
USM Alger scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while ES Sétif keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
ES Sétif scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while USM Alger keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - USM Alger
Over / Under - ES Sétif
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Alger is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - USM Alger · 1.09 pts / match - ES Sétif
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
USM Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ES Sétif - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
USM Alger
ES Sétif
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| USM Alger | Liga | ES Sétif | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.13 | • 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: USM Alger 1 - 0 - 0 ES Sétif. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of USM Alger vs ES Sétif?
The Ligue 1 match finished USM Alger 2:0 ES Sétif. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before USM Alger vs ES Sétif?
USM Alger score 1.06 goals per game on average and ES Sétif 1.00. The Ligue 1 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of USM Alger's matches and 50% of ES Sétif's.
What form are USM Alger and ES Sétif in?
Over the last 5 games USM Alger have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and ES Sétif 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for USM Alger vs ES Sétif?
The statistical background for USM Alger vs ES Sétif — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.