USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. USM Khenchela has a solid home record with 44% clean sheets and only 11% losses at home, yet their recent form is concerning (1 win in the last 5 matches). Oued Akbou shows better disposition in recent fixtures (2 wins in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.6), but struggles significantly away from home (22% win rate, negative goal difference -2). Both teams share an identical average of goals scored at their respective venues (1.22), and the hosts' high draw percentage at home (56%) further reinforces the prediction of a points split. The possession advantage for USM Khenchela (56% vs 45%) may be neutralized by Oued Akbou's superior efficiency (17% vs 12% shot conversion).
USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
USM Khenchela played Oued Akbou in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
USM Khenchela: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Oued Akbou: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
USM Khenchela scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Oued Akbou scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: USM Khenchela 56%, Oued Akbou 61%. Over 2.5: USM Khenchela 33%, Oued Akbou 44%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
USM Khenchela has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.32. USM Khenchela: 10.3 shots per match, Oued Akbou: 10.3.
Match halves
USM Khenchela: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Oued Akbou: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
USM Khenchela: 31-45+ (5 goals). Oued Akbou: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. USM Khenchela has a solid home record with 44% clean sheets and only 11% losses at home, yet their recent form is concerning (1 win in the last 5 matches). Oued Akbou shows better disposition in recent fixtures (2 wins in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.6), but struggles significantly away from home (22% win rate, negative goal difference -2). Both teams share an identical average of goals scored at their respective venues (1.22), and the hosts' high draw percentage at home (56%) further reinforces the prediction of a points split. The possession advantage for USM Khenchela (56% vs 45%) may be neutralized by Oued Akbou's superior efficiency (17% vs 12% shot conversion).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| USM Khenchela | Oued Akbou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oued Akbou is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - USM Khenchela · 1.6 pts / match - Oued Akbou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oued Akbou is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - USM Khenchela · 1.33 goals / match - Oued Akbou
USM Khenchela scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Oued Akbou keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Oued Akbou scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while USM Khenchela keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - USM Khenchela
Over / Under - Oued Akbou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Khenchela is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - USM Khenchela · 1.28 pts / match - Oued Akbou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
USM Khenchela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oued Akbou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
USM Khenchela
Oued Akbou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| USM Khenchela | Liga | Oued Akbou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: USM Khenchela 0 - 1 - 0 Oued Akbou. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou?
The Ligue 1 match finished USM Khenchela 0:1 Oued Akbou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou?
USM Khenchela score 1.17 goals per game on average and Oued Akbou 1.33. The Ligue 1 average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 56% of USM Khenchela's matches and 61% of Oued Akbou's.
What form are USM Khenchela and Oued Akbou in?
Over the last 5 games USM Khenchela have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Oued Akbou 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for USM Khenchela vs Oued Akbou?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.