USMNT vs Belgium: match statistics
USMNT vs Belgium: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
USMNT played Belgium in World Cup (International). The match was played on 7 July 2026. Venue: Lumen Field. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
USMNT: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Belgium: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
USMNT scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Belgium scores 2.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: USMNT 50%, Belgium 75%. Over 2.5: USMNT 50%, Belgium 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Belgium has higher xG: 2.43 vs 1.56. USMNT: 13.0 shots per match, Belgium: 23.0.
Match halves
USMNT: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75. Belgium: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
USMNT: 31-45+ (4 goals). Belgium: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. Our prediction: 41% for USMNT, 29% for draw and 30% for Belgium. Most likely exact score: 2:1. Promotion after the whole match: USMNT (54% vs 46%). Status: SMALL BET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: yes. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. Both sides have a real path to goal: one through control and territorial pressure, the other through transitions, set pieces or space after losing the ball. The model gives 58% on BTTS Yes and 42% on BTTS No, with xG USMNT 1.55 and Belgium 1.25. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: over 2.5. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. The model gives 53% on Over 2.5 and 47% on Under 2.5. xG: USMNT 1.55, Belgium 1.25, total 2.80. Most likely result: 2:1. Line 2.5 is the most sensitive to the goal of the weaker side: 2:0 leaves the under, but 2:1 immediately moves the match to the over. Therefore, the rating depends on whether the underdog has a credible path to the goal. Status: NOBET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: 1/1. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. The host has the best chance to lead at the break and maintain the advantage thanks to rhythm control and better quality in key sectors. Top tracks: 1/1 21%, X/1 17% and X/X 17%. The spread is calibrated to our 1X2 41%-29%-30% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| USMNT | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
USMNT is 13% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - USMNT · 2 pts / match - Belgium
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USMNT is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - USMNT · 2.25 goals / match - Belgium
USMNT scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Belgium keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Belgium scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while USMNT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - USMNT
Over / Under - Belgium
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USMNT is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - USMNT · 1 pts / match - Belgium
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
USMNT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Belgium - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
USMNT
Belgium
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| USMNT | Liga | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of USMNT vs Belgium?
The World Cup match finished USMNT 1:4 Belgium. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before USMNT vs Belgium?
USMNT score 2.50 goals per game on average and Belgium 2.25. The World Cup average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of USMNT's matches and 75% of Belgium's.
What form are USMNT and Belgium in?
Over the last 5 games USMNT have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Belgium 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for USMNT vs Belgium?
The statistical background for USMNT vs Belgium — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.