Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio Héroes de San RamónData current as of 19 October 2026

UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

UTC Cajamarca play Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón.

Current form

UTC Cajamarca: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Melgar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

UTC Cajamarca scores 1.10 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Melgar scores 1.76 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: UTC Cajamarca 62%, Melgar 66%. Over 2.5: UTC Cajamarca 55%, Melgar 59%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Melgar has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.37. UTC Cajamarca: 12.5 shots per match, Melgar: 15.6.

Match halves

UTC Cajamarca: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.72. Melgar: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

UTC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (14 goals). Melgar: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.50)
(3.80)
(1.66)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.1Goals scored / match1.76
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.79Goals conceded / match1.14
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
50%Average possession55%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
4.41Shots on target / match5.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.48Shots per match15.62
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
4.41Shots on target5.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
8.8%Shot conversion11.3%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
50%Possession55%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.37xG for1.65
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.57xG against1.4
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Shooting quality

UTC Cajamarca: BalancedMelgar: Dominant
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UTC Cajamarca
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W28% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-17
0.69 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Melgar
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W28% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-7
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Melgar is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1.76 goals / match - Melgar

Melgar is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.79 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1.14 goals / match - Melgar

UTC Cajamarca scoring profile: strong

UTC Cajamarca scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

Melgar scoring profile: very strong

Melgar scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

32Goals scored (season)51
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
52Goals conceded (season)33
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
2.9Average goals in match2.9
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
5Goals scored (last 5)11
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal86%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
38%2 goals52%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
3%3 goals28%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0%4 goals10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal72%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
62%2 goals24%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
24%3 goals14%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
7%4 goals3%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time28%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
14%BTTS in both halves7%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
24%Scored in both halves34%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
60%BTTS - last 560%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melgar is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1.79 pts / match - Melgar

UTC Cajamarca - half-time state
14% leading45% draw41% trailing
Melgar - half-time state
45% leading45% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.79
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.86
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
41%Clean sheet before half-time66%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
66%No goal before half-time31%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.45
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.66
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
31%Clean sheet after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
41%No goal after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

UTC Cajamarca - second-half results

24% W41% D34% L
25
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Melgar - second-half results

41% W21% D38% L
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

UTC Cajamarca - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Melgar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

UTC Cajamarca
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
5
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
12
61-75
14
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Melgar
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
3
16-30
14
4
31-45
4
6
46-60
12
4
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

UTC Cajamarca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Melgar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

UTC CajamarcaLigaMelgar
Average goals in match▲ 2.902.77▲ 2.90
Both teams scored▲ 62%59%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 55%54%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 14%24%▲ 28%
Goal before half-time• 69%69%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%79%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): UTC Cajamarca 0 - 0 - 3 Melgar. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Melgar
2 : 0
UTC Cajamarca
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca
1 : 2
FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca

FAQ

When do UTC Cajamarca and Melgar play?

UTC Cajamarca face Melgar on 23 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between UTC Cajamarca and Melgar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches UTC Cajamarca won 0, Melgar won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

UTC Cajamarca score 1.10 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.76. The Primera División average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of UTC Cajamarca's matches and 66% of Melgar's.

What form are UTC Cajamarca and Melgar in?

Over the last 5 games UTC Cajamarca have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Melgar 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.