UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo: match statistics
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UTC Cajamarca played Sport Huancayo in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 15 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
UTC Cajamarca: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sport Huancayo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
UTC Cajamarca scores 1.33 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Sport Huancayo scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UTC Cajamarca 56%, Sport Huancayo 56%. Over 2.5: UTC Cajamarca 44%, Sport Huancayo 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
UTC Cajamarca has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.34. UTC Cajamarca: 12.9 shots per match, Sport Huancayo: 12.0.
Match halves
UTC Cajamarca: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Sport Huancayo: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
UTC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sport Huancayo: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UTC Cajamarca has a clear defensive edge at home — they concede on average 0.5 goals per match at home and keep 50% clean sheets, while Sport Huancayo concedes 2.0 goals on average away and only 25% clean sheets. In attack the hosts score 1.0 goal per home match with an average xG of 1.26, 11.5 shots and 4.25 shots on target, whereas the visitors score 0.75 goals away with xG 1.05, 8.5 shots and 3.0 SOT. The difference in chance quality is also visible in xG against: UTC concedes an average xG of 1.03 at home, while Sport has xG against of 1.5 on the road, confirming the visitors’ weaker defense. Although Sport posts higher possession (50% vs 45%), it does not translate into goals — the visitors have 50% of away matches without scoring versus 25% for the hosts, and their away record shows 0% wins and a goal difference of -5. Considering UTC’s defensive solidity, superior quality of chances (xG 1.26 vs 1.05 and more SOT) and home efficiency stats, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Based on seasonal indicators, UTC has BTTS at 60% and Sport Huancayo 50%, with a league average BTTS of 56%, yielding a preliminary signal for BTTS around 55–60%. In the last 5 matches both teams record BTTS at 60%; in that period UTC scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.4 on average, while Huancayo scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6, which increases the probability that both teams will score. Season xG is 1.58 for UTC versus 1.05 for Huancayo, but in the last 5 matches the visitors have a higher xG of 1.48 versus 1.08 for the hosts, suggesting Huancayo is creating chances and may exceed their seasonal average of 0.75 goals per game. The hosts average 4.6 shots on target and 14.8 shots per match with an 8% conversion rate, while Huancayo has 3.0 shots on target and 8.5 shots with a 9% conversion, so UTC’s offensive edge favors their scoring, and the visitors also have realistic chances. On this basis I favor BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 60% (versus 40% for No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (UTC xG_for 1.58, Sport Huancayo xG_for 1.05; xG_against: UTC 0.76, Sport 1.50) yields expected goals of 1.54 for the home side and 0.91 for the away side, totalling 2.45 goals. Using a Poisson distribution with lambda = 2.45 gives ~70% probability for Over 1.5, ~44% for Over 2.5 and ~23% for Over 3.5. Seasonal metrics support a preference for Over 1.5: UTC has seasonOver15 80%, Sport Huancayo 75%, and homes scored at least 1 goal in 100% of matches versus 75% for away teams. Over 2.5 is less certain — UTC has seasonOver25 40% vs 75% for the away side, and the league average of 2.62 suggests a moderate likelihood; the model here slightly favors Under 2.5 (56% vs 44%). The home team averages 14.8 shots with 4.6 on target, while the visitors average 8.5 with 3.0 on target, confirming greater chance-creation potential from UTC. Therefore the strongest and most justified market to back is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1), because hosts draw at the break in 80% of their matches versus 50% for visitors. By half-time hosts average 0.6 goals scored and concede 0.2, while visitors average 0.5 scored and 0.75 conceded, which supports a high probability of a draw after 45 minutes. After the break the hosts’ advantage increases – hosts’ xG is 1.58 versus 1.05 for guests, xG against 0.76 vs 1.5, and hosts register on average 4.6 shots on target compared to 3.0 for their opponents; additionally hosts have accumulated 5.0 points in second halves versus 1.0 for visitors. Considering the high share of draws at the break (80%/50%), superior xG and shooting stats for the hosts and the fact that hosts win 40% of matches while visitors win 0%, the X/1 scenario is the strongest signal to back.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UTC Cajamarca | Sport Huancayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UTC Cajamarca is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1 goals / match - Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1.44 goals / match - Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Sport Huancayo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Sport Huancayo scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UTC Cajamarca
Over / Under - Sport Huancayo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sport Huancayo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca · 1.33 pts / match - Sport Huancayo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UTC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sport Huancayo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UTC Cajamarca | Liga | Sport Huancayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): UTC Cajamarca 0 - 0 - 2 Sport Huancayo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo?
The Primera División match finished UTC Cajamarca 2:2 Sport Huancayo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches UTC Cajamarca won 0, Sport Huancayo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.33 goals per game on average and Sport Huancayo 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of UTC Cajamarca's matches and 56% of Sport Huancayo's.
What form are UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo in?
Over the last 5 games UTC Cajamarca have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sport Huancayo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.