Uthai Thani vs Pattani: match statistics

Uthai Thani won their only match so far this season 4:1, but the team’s current form is poor: they have suffered three defeats in their last five fixtures and scored just 5 goals. Over the same period, Pattani won 3 of 5 matches, recorded 1 draw and scored 8 goals while conceding 5. The visitors averaged 1.6 goals per game in their latest run, while Uthai Thani scored 1.0 and conceded 1.2. The hosts have home advantage and a strong position after the opening round, but Pattani’s superior current attacking efficiency and greater consistency in results support an away win. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as Pattani’s only league match ended in a share of the points.

Current-season data is very limited, so greater weight is placed on the results from the last 5 matches: Pattani had BTTS in 80% of its games, while Uthai Thani did so in 40%. During this period, the visitors scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.0, whereas the hosts scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.2. The xG profile favors goals at both ends, as Uthai Thani allowed opponents 1.57 xG and Pattani allowed 1.61 xG per match. The hosts’ attack generated an average of 1.08 xG, while the visitors’ produced 1.24 xG, indicating a realistic basis for each team to score. However, the BTTS pick is only moderately strong, as the hosts’ season data is based on a very small sample, although the league-average BTTS rate of 63% provides additional support for the “BTTS - Yes” option.

In their last five matches, Uthai Thani averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Pattani scored 1.6 goals per game. Both teams’ defences allowed opponents chances of a quality exceeding their own attacking output: the average xG against Uthai Thani was 1.57, compared with 1.61 against Pattani. Pattani had at least three goals in 80% of their last five matches, while both teams scored in 80% of those games, increasing the visitors’ scoring potential. Uthai Thani had Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their matches during this period, so the 2.5 line remains finely balanced despite the league average of 2.63 goals. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.53 goals provides a clear margin above this line.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Pattani victory at full-time, as the visitors have averaged 1.6 goals and won 60% of their last five matches, while Uthai Thani have won only 20%. Pattani were not behind at half-time in any of those matches: 60% ended the first half level, while they held the lead in 40%. Uthai Thani also frequently maintain parity before the break, drawing at half-time in 40% of their recent matches; however, after the interval they score just 0.2 goals per match and concede 1.0. Pattani have a clearly superior post-half-time points record, 1.4 compared with the hosts’ 0.2, while their average of 0.6 goals scored exceeds Uthai Thani’s 0.2. Seasonal data is very limited, so greater weight was placed on the current five-match form, which clearly supports the visitors taking control after the break.