Utrecht II vs Willem II: match statistics
Willem II are displaying much better form in their last five matches, collecting 6 points (2.0 PPG) compared to Utrecht II's mere 3.6 points (1.2 PPG). The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (8th place vs 13th place) and demonstrate an identical win percentage away from home (38%) as the hosts do at home, which speaks to their solidity in away fixtures. Utrecht II have a negative goal difference in their last five games (12:12) and a higher average of goals conceded at home (1.92) than Willem II's on the road (1.77). Furthermore, Willem II fail to score away less frequently (8% FTS) compared to the hosts at home (15% FTS), suggesting greater offensive efficiency from the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Willem II hold the advantage and are the favorites to secure all three points from this encounter.
Utrecht II vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Utrecht II played Willem II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 16 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Utrecht II: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Willem II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Utrecht II scores 1.76 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Willem II scores 1.36 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Utrecht II 72%, Willem II 64%. Over 2.5: Utrecht II 72%, Willem II 56%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Utrecht II has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.64. Utrecht II: 15.1 shots per match, Willem II: 14.0.
Match halves
Utrecht II: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.16. Willem II: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Utrecht II: 46-60 (12 goals). Willem II: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Willem II are displaying much better form in their last five matches, collecting 6 points (2.0 PPG) compared to Utrecht II's mere 3.6 points (1.2 PPG). The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (8th place vs 13th place) and demonstrate an identical win percentage away from home (38%) as the hosts do at home, which speaks to their solidity in away fixtures. Utrecht II have a negative goal difference in their last five games (12:12) and a higher average of goals conceded at home (1.92) than Willem II's on the road (1.77). Furthermore, Willem II fail to score away less frequently (8% FTS) compared to the hosts at home (15% FTS), suggesting greater offensive efficiency from the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Willem II hold the advantage and are the favorites to secure all three points from this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht II | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Willem II is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Utrecht II · 2 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht II is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Utrecht II · 1.36 goals / match - Willem II
Willem II is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Utrecht II · 1.36 goals / match - Willem II
Utrecht II scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Willem II scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Utrecht II keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Utrecht II
Over / Under - Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Willem II is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Utrecht II · 1.52 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Willem II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Utrecht II
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht II | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 63% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 86% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Utrecht II 0 - 0 - 1 Willem II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht II vs Willem II?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Utrecht II 1:1 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht II vs Willem II?
Utrecht II score 1.76 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.36. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Utrecht II's matches and 64% of Willem II's.
What form are Utrecht II and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht II have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Willem II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht II vs Willem II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.