Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Utrecht played Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Utrecht: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Utrecht scores 1.61 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.48 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Utrecht 61%, Fortuna Sittard 79%. Over 2.5: Utrecht 52%, Fortuna Sittard 70%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Utrecht has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.38. Utrecht: 15.1 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 12.7.
Match halves
Utrecht: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.94. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Utrecht: 76-90+ (13 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win. Utrecht averages 1.81 goals scored and concedes only 0.81 goals per game with xG 1.79, whereas Fortuna on the road scores 1.31 and concedes 2.00 goals with xG 1.25. The home side creates markedly more chances: on average 17 shots and 5.88 on target per match versus Fortuna’s 10.75 shots and 4.75 on target, and the clean sheet rate is 31% for Utrecht versus 0% for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Utrecht has scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins, averaging 1.8 points per game, while Fortuna has 6 goals and only 0.8 points per game in that period. The defensive differential (0.81 vs 2.00 conceded) combined with the superiority in chance creation favors a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'both teams to score' scenario is strongly supported by the data: Utrecht has a season BTTS rate of 82%, Fortuna Sittard 75%, versus the league average of 63%. Both sides defend poorly — Utrecht concedes 1.71 goals per season (2.2 in the last 5) and has only 18% clean sheets, while Fortuna concedes 2.00 goals per season (1.8 in the last 5) and has 0% clean sheets. xG also points to goals for both teams: Utrecht has xG_for 1.51 against Fortuna’s xG_against 1.85, and Fortuna has xG_for 1.25 against Utrecht’s xG_against 1.63, indicating realistic scoring chances for both sides. Additionally, Utrecht averages 14.47 shots and 4.29 on target, Fortuna 10.75 and 4.75 on target, with conversion rates of 11% and 12% and high percentages of matches over 2.5 goals (Utrecht 71%, Fortuna 69%) increasing the likelihood of traded goals. Based on this I assess an 80% probability for BTTS - Yes and 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high probability of goals: Utrecht scores 1.65 goals per match on average with xG_for 1.51, while Fortuna scores 1.31 with xG_for 1.25. Combining these figures with the opponents' defenses (Fortuna xG_against 1.85, Utrecht xG_against 1.63) yields estimated expected goals of 1.68 for Utrecht and 1.44 for Fortuna, for a total of 3.12 goals. Both teams have a seasonal share of matches over 1.5 goals equal to 88%, while BTTS rates are 82% (Utrecht) and 75% (Fortuna), suggesting a high likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Utrecht has scored 11 goals (2.2 avg.) and conceded 11 (2.2), whereas Fortuna has scored 6 (1.2) and conceded 9 (1.8), reinforcing the hosts' offensive momentum. Given the combined xG = 3.12 and seasonal metrics over 1.5 = 88% and over 2.5 around 71%/69%, the strongest signal is an Over 1.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Utrecht appears favored to lead at the break: the hosts led at half-time in 47% of matches versus 13% for Fortuna, with Utrecht averaging 0.88 goals by half-time and conceding 0.53. Utrecht also posts higher xG (1.51 vs 1.25) and more shots per game (14.47 vs 10.75), increasing the likelihood of taking and maintaining the initiative in the first half. There is a risk of a turnaround in the second half, as the hosts concede an average of 1.18 goals after the break while scoring 0.76, but seasonal records still favor Utrecht (wins 41% vs 25% for Fortuna and an average 1.47 points per game vs 0.88; in the last five matches Utrecht won 60% of games, Fortuna 20%). Both teams score frequently (both teams scored in 82% of Utrecht’s matches and 75% of Fortuna’s), so the most likely scenario is Utrecht leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1); I assign this combination a 31% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Utrecht is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Utrecht · 0.8 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.48 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.85 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Utrecht
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Utrecht · 1.24 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.88 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 20% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Utrecht 0 - 0 - 1 Fortuna Sittard. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Utrecht 2:0 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Utrecht score 1.61 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.48. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Utrecht's matches and 79% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.