Utrecht vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Utrecht vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Utrecht play NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Utrecht: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. NAC Breda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Utrecht scores 1.64 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.03 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Utrecht 61%, NAC Breda 47%. Over 2.5: Utrecht 50%, NAC Breda 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Utrecht has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.52. Utrecht: 15.3 shots per match, NAC Breda: 14.1.
Match halves
Utrecht: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00. NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Utrecht: 76-90+ (14 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Utrecht holds a clear statistical edge, so I back the home win. At home Utrecht averages 1.8 goals per match and wins 53% of home games, while NAC Breda on the road averages just 0.8 goals and only 7% wins. Defensively the gap is even larger — NAC concedes 2.0 goals away on average, compared to Utrecht’s 0.87 at home, translating into a +14 goal difference for Utrecht at home versus -18 for NAC away. Additionally Utrecht generates 1.7 average xG at home with 5.53 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate, whereas NAC has 1.42 xG, 3.73 shots on target and a 6% conversion and in the last 5 matches scored only 2 goals and failed to win (0-2-3, 0.4 points per game). Considering the advantage in scoring efficiency (1.8 vs 0.8), defense (0.87 vs 2.0), xG (1.7 vs 1.42) and form, the hosts look like clear favorites.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Utrecht is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Utrecht · 1 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.03 goals / match - NAC Breda
Utrecht is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.71 goals / match - NAC Breda
Utrecht scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Utrecht
Over / Under — NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Utrecht · 0.94 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Utrecht
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Utrecht 0 - 1 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Utrecht 2:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
Utrecht score 1.64 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.03. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Utrecht's matches and 47% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Utrecht and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.