Netherlands - EredivisieStadion GalgenwaardData current as of 21 October 2026

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Utrecht play PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard.

Current form

Utrecht: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Utrecht scores 1.78 and concedes 2.89 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.11 and concedes 2.44. League average: 3.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Utrecht 89%, PEC Zwolle 44%. Over 2.5: Utrecht 100%, PEC Zwolle 67%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Utrecht has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.33. Utrecht: 12.8 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 12.0.

Match halves

Utrecht: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.44. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Utrecht: 76-90+ (6 goals). PEC Zwolle: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.84 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.69)
(4.34)
(4.54)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.78Goals scored / match1.11
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
2.89Goals conceded / match2.44
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
45%Average possession41%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
4.33Shots on target / match4.33
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.78Shots per match12
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
4.33Shots on target4.33
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
13.9%Shot conversion9.3%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
45%Possession41%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.36xG for1.33
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.98xG against2.1
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

Shooting quality

Utrecht: Counter-attackingPEC Zwolle: Balanced
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Utrecht is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Utrecht · 0.8 pts / match - PEC Zwolle

Utrecht
DWLWW
Season result split
33% W22% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
LLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
PEC Zwolle
DLLLW
Season result split
22% W11% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-6
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 2.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Utrecht is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.78 goals / match - Utrecht · 1.11 goals / match - PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.89 goals / match - Utrecht · 2.44 goals / match - PEC Zwolle

Utrecht scoring profile: very strong

Utrecht scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

PEC Zwolle scoring profile: very strong

PEC Zwolle scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

16Goals scored (season)10
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
26Goals conceded (season)22
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
4.67Average goals in match3.56
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
10Goals scored (last 5)6
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
11Goals conceded (last 5)14
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal56%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
56%2 goals33%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
33%3 goals11%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
0%4 goals11%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal89%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
67%2 goals67%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
56%3 goals44%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
33%4 goals11%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time33%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
11%BTTS in both halves11%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
22%Scored in both halves11%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

BTTS and goal count

89%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
80%BTTS - last 540%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Utrecht - half-time state
11% leading22% draw67% trailing
PEC Zwolle - half-time state
0% leading56% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.56Points per match (1st half)0.56
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.11Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.44
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
22%Clean sheet before half-time33%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
67%No goal before half-time67%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)0.78
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
1.78Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
3.22Average goals (2nd half)2.11
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
11%Clean sheet after half-time22%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle
22%No goal after half-time67%
UtrechtPEC Zwolle

Utrecht - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PEC Zwolle - second-half results

22% W11% D67% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.56
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Utrecht - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.21.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.23.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
PEC Zwolle - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Utrecht
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
7
46-60
4
2
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

PEC Zwolle
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
6
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.11
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Utrecht

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.62
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.91
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

PEC Zwolle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

UtrechtLigaPEC Zwolle
Average goals in match▲ 4.673.84▼ 3.56
Both teams scored▲ 89%72%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%75%▼ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 0%15%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%83%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%90%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.84
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / match
2.04
Away goals / match
+-12%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
68%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Utrecht 1 - 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FC Utrecht
1 : 1
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
0 : 2
FC Utrecht

FAQ

When do Utrecht and PEC Zwolle play?

Utrecht face PEC Zwolle on 24 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and PEC Zwolle?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 1, PEC Zwolle won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Utrecht score 1.78 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.11. The Eredivisie average is 3.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 89% of Utrecht's matches and 44% of PEC Zwolle's.

What form are Utrecht and PEC Zwolle in?

Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

The statistical background for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.