Utrecht vs Willem II: match statistics
Utrecht vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Utrecht played Willem II in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Utrecht: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Willem II: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Utrecht scores 1.57 and concedes 3.43 goals per match. Willem II scores 0.86 and concedes 2.86. League average: 3.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Utrecht 86%, Willem II 71%. Over 2.5: Utrecht 100%, Willem II 71%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Willem II has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.18. Utrecht: 10.7 shots per match, Willem II: 11.9.
Match halves
Utrecht: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.14. Willem II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Utrecht: 76-90+ (5 goals). Willem II: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.74 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Utrecht have a slight edge: they have scored 11 goals and recorded one win in seven league matches, while Willem II have scored 6 and are still waiting for their first victory. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 9 goals compared with 4 for the visitors, pointing to Utrecht’s greater attacking potential. At home, Utrecht average 1.67 goals with an xG of 1.02, while Willem II average 1 goal away from home with an xG of 0.98. However, both defences remain a major risk for bettors: Utrecht concede an average of 4.33 goals at home, while Willem II concede 3.33 away; neither side has yet won a match in these conditions. Utrecht’s advantage is therefore modest, with a draw and an away win both realistic outcomes.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 50% of Utrecht’s matches and 100% of Willem II’s matches in the season statistics provided, and in their last five games in 80% and 60%, respectively. Both defences allow opponents plenty of chances: Utrecht conceded an average of 2.5 goals, while Willem II conceded 3.33 per match. In their last five appearances, the hosts scored an average of 1.8 goals, while the visitors conceded 2.4; meanwhile, Willem II scored 0.8 goals as Utrecht conceded as many as 3.6. The main risk for this pick is that Utrecht failed to score in 50% of its matches. However, Willem II have yet to keep a clean sheet, tipping the assessment in favour of both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 75% of Utrecht's matches and 100% of Willem II's. Both defences allow plenty of chances—their opponents' average xG is 1.85 and 2.96, respectively, while the teams concede an average of 2.5 and 3.33 goals. Utrecht's last 5 matches averaged 5.4 goals, while Willem II's averaged 3.2; Over 2.5 goals landed in 100% and 60% of those matches, respectively. Despite these figures, Over 1.5 is a safer choice than Over 2.5, as Willem II scores an average of just 1.0 goal, while Utrecht averages 0.75 goals scored per match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely start to the match: Utrecht were level at the break in 2 of their 4 home games and did not score before half-time in any of them, while Willem II failed to score in the first half in 2 of their 3 away matches. After the break, the balance should tip in favour of the home side, as the visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals in second halves away from home, while Utrecht score 0.75 goals at home in that period. Utrecht’s higher attacking xG—1.36 compared with their opponents’ 0.98—and markedly lower xG conceded, 1.85 versus 2.96, also support a home win. Across their last five matches, Utrecht averaged 1.8 goals, while Willem II averaged 0.8, reinforcing the scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a home win at full-time. However, this is not a certain pick, as Utrecht have lost 3 of their 4 home games, so this outcome has only a moderate edge over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Utrecht | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Utrecht is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Utrecht · 0.4 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Utrecht is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Utrecht · 0.86 goals / match - Willem II
Willem II is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.43 goals / match - Utrecht · 2.86 goals / match - Willem II
Utrecht scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Willem II scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Utrecht
Over / Under - Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Utrecht is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - Utrecht · 0.43 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Willem II - second-half results
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Utrecht
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Utrecht | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.00 | 3.74 | • 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 72% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Utrecht vs Willem II?
The Eredivisie match finished Utrecht 3:1 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Utrecht vs Willem II?
Utrecht score 1.57 goals per game on average and Willem II 0.86. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Utrecht's matches and 71% of Willem II's.
What form are Utrecht and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games Utrecht have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Willem II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Utrecht vs Willem II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Utrecht vs Willem II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.