Uxbridge vs Chippenham Town: match statistics

Uxbridge come into this match in better recent form, collecting 8 points from their last 5 games through 2 wins and 2 draws, while Chippenham Town have secured just 4 points. The hosts have scored 9 goals during this period, averaging 1.8 per match, compared with the visitors’ 6 goals; Chippenham Town have also lost 3 of their last 5 games. Uxbridge’s defence is not flawless, having conceded 7 goals, but Chippenham Town have allowed 8 goals and are also on a weaker run, with 3 defeats. The hosts’ edge in attacking output and more stable results point towards a Uxbridge win, although their 2 draws in 5 matches increase the likelihood of a closely contested game.

The latest form clearly points toward goals at both ends: BTTS - Yes occurred in 80% of Uxbridge’s last five matches and in 60% of Chippenham Town’s games. During this period, Uxbridge averaged 1.8 goals per match, while Chippenham Town averaged 1.2, with both defences regularly conceding — 1.4 and 1.6 per game, respectively. The hosts scored 9 goals in their last five appearances, while the visitors conceded 8, strengthening Uxbridge’s chances of finding the net. At the same time, Chippenham Town has a high average xG of 1.59, exceeding Uxbridge’s 1.28, so they should create enough chances against a home defence allowing an average of 1.25 xG. The lack of seasonal data limits confidence in the prediction, but the current figures provide a stronger signal for a scenario in which both teams score at least one goal.

The most reliable data comes from the last five matches, as the season statistics do not provide useful figures. Uxbridge’s matches produced an average of 3.2 goals during this period: the team scored 1.8 and conceded 1.4, while 60% of those games went Over 2.5 goals. Chippenham Town averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded 1.6, which supports the prospect of at least two goals in the match. The attacking potential of both teams is confirmed by their xG figures: 1.28 for Uxbridge and as much as 1.59 for Chippenham Town, with their defenses allowing an average of 1.25 and 1.36 xG, respectively. Over 1.5 has the edge, as both teams saw both sides score in 80% and 60% of their respective last five matches, while the 2.5 line remains considerably more evenly balanced.

Uxbridge are clearly in better current form: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals and 1.6 points, compared with Chippenham Town’s 1.2 goals and just 0.8 points. The opening stages could nevertheless be cautious, as the visitors were drawing at half-time in 40% of their recent matches and conceded only 0.2 goals per game in the first half. The second half is the key factor: Uxbridge average 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded after the break, and have not lost any of their last five such periods, while Chippenham Town concede as many as 1.4 goals after half-time. The most likely HT/FT scenario is therefore a draw at the break followed by a home win, as Uxbridge raise the tempo and capitalise on their advantage after the interval.