England - Southern League Premier SouthHoneycroftData current as of 17 October 2026

Uxbridge vs Malvern Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Uxbridge vs Malvern Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Uxbridge play Malvern Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match date is 20 October 2026. Venue: Honeycroft.

Current form

Uxbridge: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Malvern Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Uxbridge scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Malvern Town scores 1.55 and concedes 2.82. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Uxbridge 40%, Malvern Town 73%. Over 2.5: Uxbridge 40%, Malvern Town 91%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Malvern Town has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.55. Uxbridge: 8.2 shots per match, Malvern Town: 2.7.

Match halves

Uxbridge: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.30. Malvern Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Uxbridge: 61-75 (5 goals). Malvern Town: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Southern League Premier South: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

UxbridgeMalvern Town
2Goals scored / match1.55
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.8Goals conceded / match2.82
UxbridgeMalvern Town
35%Average possession13%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
3.1Shots on target / match1
UxbridgeMalvern Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.2Shots per match2.73
UxbridgeMalvern Town
3.1Shots on target1
UxbridgeMalvern Town
24.4%Shot conversion56.7%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
35%Possession13%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
1.55xG for1.62
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.98xG against1.47
UxbridgeMalvern Town

Shooting quality

Uxbridge: Counter-attackingMalvern Town: Counter-attacking
UxbridgeMalvern Town
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.59
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.651.55

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Uxbridge is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Uxbridge · 1.2 pts / match - Malvern Town

Uxbridge
DWLWW
Season result split
70% W20% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 0.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Malvern Town
LWLLW
Season result split
18% W18% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-7
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-5
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Uxbridge is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Uxbridge · 1.55 goals / match - Malvern Town

Uxbridge is 252% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Uxbridge · 2.82 goals / match - Malvern Town

Uxbridge scoring profile: very strong

Uxbridge scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Malvern Town keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Malvern Town scoring profile: mixed

Malvern Town scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Uxbridge keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).

20Goals scored (season)17
UxbridgeMalvern Town
8Goals conceded (season)31
UxbridgeMalvern Town
2.8Average goals in match4.36
UxbridgeMalvern Town
8Goals scored (last 5)10
UxbridgeMalvern Town
2Goals conceded (last 5)15
UxbridgeMalvern Town

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal73%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
60%2 goals45%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
20%3 goals18%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
20%4 goals9%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal91%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%2 goals91%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%3 goals45%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%4 goals36%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time36%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%BTTS in both halves27%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
30%Scored in both halves36%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS73%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
20%BTTS - last 580%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time91%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time82%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time45%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Uxbridge is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / match - Uxbridge · 1 pts / match - Malvern Town

Uxbridge - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing
Malvern Town - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.64
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.45
UxbridgeMalvern Town
80%Clean sheet before half-time27%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
60%No goal before half-time45%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.7Points per match (2nd half)0.73
UxbridgeMalvern Town
1.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
UxbridgeMalvern Town
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)2
UxbridgeMalvern Town
1.9Average goals (2nd half)2.91
UxbridgeMalvern Town
60%Clean sheet after half-time18%
UxbridgeMalvern Town
30%No goal after half-time45%
UxbridgeMalvern Town

Uxbridge - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Malvern Town - second-half results

18% W18% D64% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.2

Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Uxbridge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Malvern Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.63.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Uxbridge
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Malvern Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
6
31-45
1
8
46-60
3
4
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Uxbridge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Malvern Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
158%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).

Teams vs league

UxbridgeLigaMalvern Town
Average goals in match▼ 2.803.16▲ 4.36
Both teams scored▼ 40%62%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%59%▲ 91%
Clean sheets▲ 50%21%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%76%▲ 91%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%86%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Uxbridge and Malvern Town play?

Uxbridge face Malvern Town on 20 October 2026 in Southern League Premier South at Honeycroft. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

Uxbridge score 2.00 goals per game on average and Malvern Town 1.55. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Uxbridge's matches and 73% of Malvern Town's.

What form are Uxbridge and Malvern Town in?

Over the last 5 games Uxbridge have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Malvern Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Uxbridge vs Malvern Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.