V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: match statistics
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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
V-Varen Nagasaki play Cerezo Osaka in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.
Current form
V-Varen Nagasaki: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cerezo Osaka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.29 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Cerezo Osaka scores 0.86 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: V-Varen Nagasaki 57%, Cerezo Osaka 29%. Over 2.5: V-Varen Nagasaki 71%, Cerezo Osaka 43%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Cerezo Osaka has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.24. V-Varen Nagasaki: 10.7 shots per match, Cerezo Osaka: 11.1.
Match halves
V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Cerezo Osaka: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
V-Varen Nagasaki: 46-60 (3 goals). Cerezo Osaka: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerezo Osaka is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.4 pts / match - Cerezo Osaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.86 goals / match - Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.57 goals / match - Cerezo Osaka
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Cerezo Osaka keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Cerezo Osaka scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
Over / Under - Cerezo Osaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerezo Osaka is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.29 pts / match - Cerezo Osaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerezo Osaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
V-Varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Liga | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.97 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka play?
V-Varen Nagasaki face Cerezo Osaka on 19 September 2026 in J1 League at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.29 goals per game on average and Cerezo Osaka 0.86. The J1 League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 29% of Cerezo Osaka's.
What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka in?
Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cerezo Osaka 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.