V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock: match statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
V-Varen Nagasaki played Mito Hollyhock in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
V-Varen Nagasaki: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mito Hollyhock: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Mito Hollyhock scores 1.44 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: V-Varen Nagasaki 64%, Mito Hollyhock 50%. Over 2.5: V-Varen Nagasaki 53%, Mito Hollyhock 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
V-Varen Nagasaki has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.35. V-Varen Nagasaki: 14.1 shots per match, Mito Hollyhock: 11.3.
Match halves
V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.08. Mito Hollyhock: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (16 goals). Mito Hollyhock: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.8 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.44 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.89 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Mito Hollyhock scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mito Hollyhock is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.83 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
V-Varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Liga | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: V-Varen Nagasaki 0 - 0 - 1 Mito Hollyhock. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?
The J2 League match finished V-Varen Nagasaki 2:1 Mito Hollyhock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?
V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.67 goals per game on average and Mito Hollyhock 1.44. The J2 League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 64% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 50% of Mito Hollyhock's.
What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Mito Hollyhock in?
Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mito Hollyhock 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.