Japan - J1 Leaguetranscosmos Stadium NagasakiData current as of 08 September 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics

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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

V-Varen Nagasaki play Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.

Current form

V-Varen Nagasaki: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.17 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.17 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: V-Varen Nagasaki 67%, Nagoya Grampus 67%. Over 2.5: V-Varen Nagasaki 83%, Nagoya Grampus 83%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Nagoya Grampus has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.12. V-Varen Nagasaki: 9.8 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 13.8.

Match halves

V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (3 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.60)
(2.06)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
1.17Goals scored / match1.17
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
2.33Goals conceded / match1.83
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
45%Average possession59%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
3.33Shots on target / match4.17
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.83Shots per match13.83
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
3.33Shots on target4.17
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
11.9%Shot conversion8.4%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
45%Possession59%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
1.12xG for1.57
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
1.71xG against1.52
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

Shooting quality

V-Varen Nagasaki: BalancedNagoya Grampus: Balanced
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
Accuracy (shots on target)34%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nagoya Grampus is 500% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.2 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

V-Varen Nagasaki
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Nagoya Grampus
LWWLL
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nagoya Grampus is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.33 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.83 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: very strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: very strong

Nagoya Grampus scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)7
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
14Goals conceded (season)11
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
3.5Average goals in match3
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
5Goals scored (last 5)7
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
13Goals conceded (last 5)10
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%2 goals33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%3 goals17%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%4 goals0%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
67%2 goals50%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%3 goals33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
17%4 goals0%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%BTTS in both halves0%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%Scored in both halves33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
60%BTTS - last 580%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.5 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing
Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)0.5
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.17
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%Clean sheet before half-time17%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
83%No goal before half-time67%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.83
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
50%No goal after half-time33%
V-Varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.40
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Nagoya Grampus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

V-Varen NagasakiLigaNagoya Grampus
Average goals in match 3.503.00 3.00
Both teams scored 67%60% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%57% 83%
Clean sheets 0%23% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%72% 83%
Goal after half-time 100%83% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus play?

V-Varen Nagasaki face Nagoya Grampus on 12 September 2026 in J1 League at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.17. The J1 League average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 67% of Nagoya Grampus's.

What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus in?

Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.