V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
V-Varen Nagasaki played Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
V-Varen Nagasaki: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.17 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.17 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: V-Varen Nagasaki 67%, Nagoya Grampus 67%. Over 2.5: V-Varen Nagasaki 83%, Nagoya Grampus 83%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Nagoya Grampus has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.12. V-Varen Nagasaki: 9.8 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 13.8.
Match halves
V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (3 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
V-Varen Nagasaki have a poor overall season record, but at home they average 1.33 goals with an xG of 1.55, while Nagoya Grampus score just 0.5 goals away from home and create chances worth 0.94 xG. The hosts average 13.67 shots at home, including 5 on target, whereas the visitors manage only 8 attempts and 1 shot on target per match. Nagoya’s extremely poor away trend is also crucial: they have lost both of their matches on the road, concede 2.5 goals per game away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Nagasaki’s defence also leaves plenty to be desired, as they concede an average of 2 goals at home and have not kept a clean sheet, making the risk of a close, high-scoring match significant. However, the hosts’ advantage in chance creation and the visitors’ exceptionally low away attacking efficiency ultimately point towards a V-Varen Nagasaki win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is primarily supported by the current form of both teams, as each side has recorded this outcome in 80% of their last 5 matches. V-Varen Nagasaki scored an average of 1.6 goals during this period but conceded as many as 2.8, while Nagoya Grampus averaged 1.4 goals scored and allowed opponents 2.2. The hosts create significantly more chances: their average xG stands at 1.89 compared with the visitors’ 0.94, while their average number of shots on target is 5.75 versus Nagoya’s just 1.0. At the same time, neither side has kept a clean sheet yet, and the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, increasing the chances of the lower-scoring visitors finding the net. The seasonal BTTS rate is 75% for Nagasaki and 50% for Nagoya, while the league average of 60% further supports goals from both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
V-Varen Nagasaki create chances worth an average of 1.89 xG at home, while Nagoya Grampus allow opponents 1.82 xG on the road, clearly supporting at least two goals for the hosts. Nagoya concede an average of 2.5 goals per away match and have kept a clean sheet in none of those games, while the hosts average 16.75 shots, including 5.75 on target. In their last five matches, both teams recorded a minimum of three goals in 100% of games, with the average total goals in those runs standing at 4.4 for Nagasaki and 3.6 for Nagoya, respectively. The Over 1.5 goals line is also strongly supported by season data: it has landed in 75% of the hosts' matches and 100% of the visitors' matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Nagoya were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while the seasonal data shows both teams recording a 50% draw rate at this stage. V-Varen have failed to score before half-time in each of their last five matches and conceded an average of 1.0 goal during that period, limiting the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. After the interval, however, V-Varen’s advantage should increase: the hosts average 1.89 xG compared with Nagoya’s 0.94 and produce 5.75 shots on target per match, versus just 1.0 for the visitors. Nagoya have lost 100% of their away matches, concede an average of 2.5 goals, and allow opponents to score 2.0 goals per game after half-time. The X/1 scenario is also supported by V-Varen’s second-half performance, with the team scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding only 0.5.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nagoya Grampus is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.2 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nagoya Grampus is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.83 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Nagoya Grampus scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
Over / Under - Nagoya Grampus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.5 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
V-Varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Liga | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.97 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 56% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The J1 League match finished V-Varen Nagasaki 2:0 Nagoya Grampus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.17. The J1 League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 67% of Nagoya Grampus's.
What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus in?
Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.