V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: match statistics
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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
V-Varen Nagasaki play Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.
Current form
V-Varen Nagasaki: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.10 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 2.50 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: V-Varen Nagasaki 60%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40%. Over 2.5: V-Varen Nagasaki 50%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has higher xG: 2.28 vs 1.30. V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.7 shots per match, Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 20.2.
Match halves
V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.70.
Goals by minute
V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (4 goals). Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 2.4 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 2.5 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.6 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
Over / Under - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.7 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Liga | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 24% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima play?
V-Varen Nagasaki face Sanfrecce Hiroshima on 21 October 2026 in J1 League at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.10 goals per game on average and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.50. The J1 League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 40% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's.
What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in?
Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.