Vado vs Forlì: match statistics
Vado vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vado played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vado: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Forlì: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vado scores 0.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.86 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vado 29%, Forlì 86%. Over 2.5: Vado 29%, Forlì 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.26. Vado: 10.0 shots per match, Forlì: 12.7.
Match halves
Vado: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.00. Forlì: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Vado: 31-45+ (3 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vado have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 8, while Forlì recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. The visitors are more potent in attack: they have scored 13 goals over the season compared with the hosts’ 5, and average one goal per away game, compared with Vado’s 0.67 goals per home game. However, their defensive record gives the hosts a chance — Forlì concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home, while their opponents create chances worth 2.07 xG per match against them. The case for a draw is based primarily on Forlì having drawn 3 of their 4 away matches, although Vado’s poor form means an away win remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 100% of Vado’s home matches and 75% of Forlì’s away games, providing a strong signal in favour of both teams scoring. Neither side kept a clean sheet in these matches, conceding an average of 1.67 and 1.5 goals respectively. Vado creates more chances, with an xG of 1.93 compared with Forlì’s 1.25, but the visitors could take advantage of the fact that the hosts have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Caution is warranted given Vado’s recent drop in attacking output: 0.6 goals per game and BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, compared with 80% for Forlì. Even so, the combination of high BTTS rates in the relevant home and away fixtures and the absence of clean sheets supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: all previous matches involving either team have gone over this line, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. Vado average 1.93 xG and 5.33 shots on target at home, while Forlì allow opponents 2.07 xG. However, caution is warranted: Vado have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, and Forlì 1.0; Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% and 20% of those matches, respectively. With a forecast of 2.77 total goals, the 1.5 line therefore offers a clearer signal than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Forlì were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches and in 3 of their last 5 games overall. A draw at full-time is also supported by the fact that the visitors have drawn 3 of their 4 away games, while Vado have not won any of their last 5 matches and have averaged just 0.6 goals. Vado failed to score after the break in all five of those matches, whereas Forlì kept a clean sheet in the second half on 4 occasions, limiting the hosts’ chances of deciding the match. A Vado win remains plausible: they average 3 goals at home, and their xG is 1.93 compared with the 2.07 xG Forlì concede away from home. However, Vado’s stronger home record contrasts with their recent form, so I rate a draw at half-time and full-time as the single most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vado | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forlì is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Vado · 1.2 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 162% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Vado · 1.86 goals / match - Forlì
Vado is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Vado · 1.57 goals / match - Forlì
Vado scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Forlì scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Vado keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vado
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vado is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Vado · 1 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vado
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vado | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.86 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 14% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vado vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vado 1:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vado vs Forlì?
Vado score 0.71 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Vado's matches and 86% of Forlì's.
What form are Vado and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Vado have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Forlì 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vado vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.