France - NationalStade du HainautData current as of 15 October 2026

Valenciennes vs Amiens SC: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Valenciennes vs Amiens SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valenciennes play Amiens SC in National (France). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stade du Hainaut.

Current form

Valenciennes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Amiens SC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valenciennes scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Amiens SC scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valenciennes 56%, Amiens SC 11%. Over 2.5: Valenciennes 56%, Amiens SC 33%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Valenciennes has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.05. Valenciennes: 10.3 shots per match, Amiens SC: 9.3.

Match halves

Valenciennes: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. Amiens SC: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Valenciennes: 16-30 (3 goals). Amiens SC: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.58)
(3.02)
(2.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ValenciennesAmiens SC
1Goals scored / match1.33
ValenciennesAmiens SC
1.56Goals conceded / match0.33
ValenciennesAmiens SC
48%Average possession54%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
4.22Shots on target / match3.67
ValenciennesAmiens SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match9.33
ValenciennesAmiens SC
4.22Shots on target3.67
ValenciennesAmiens SC
9.7%Shot conversion14.3%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
48%Possession54%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
1.25xG for1.05
ValenciennesAmiens SC
1.2xG against0.95
ValenciennesAmiens SC

Shooting quality

Valenciennes: BalancedAmiens SC: Efficient finishing
ValenciennesAmiens SC
Accuracy (shots on target)41%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Amiens SC is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Valenciennes · 2.2 pts / match - Amiens SC

Valenciennes
DLLWL
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Amiens SC
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Amiens SC is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Valenciennes · 1.33 goals / match - Amiens SC

Amiens SC is 373% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Valenciennes · 0.33 goals / match - Amiens SC

Valenciennes scoring profile: mixed

Valenciennes scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Amiens SC keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 matches).

Amiens SC scoring profile: strong

Amiens SC scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

9Goals scored (season)12
ValenciennesAmiens SC
14Goals conceded (season)3
ValenciennesAmiens SC
2.56Average goals in match1.67
ValenciennesAmiens SC
6Goals scored (last 5)9
ValenciennesAmiens SC
8Goals conceded (last 5)1
ValenciennesAmiens SC

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal56%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
33%2 goals44%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0%3 goals33%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0%4 goals0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal33%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
44%2 goals0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
22%3 goals0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
11%4 goals0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
11%BTTS in both halves0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
33%Scored in both halves22%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
80%BTTS - last 520%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Amiens SC is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Valenciennes · 1.11 pts / match - Amiens SC

Valenciennes - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing
Amiens SC - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.11
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.33
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
ValenciennesAmiens SC
1.22Average goals (1st half)0.67
ValenciennesAmiens SC
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
56%No goal before half-time78%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)2.11
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1
ValenciennesAmiens SC
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0
ValenciennesAmiens SC
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1
ValenciennesAmiens SC
56%Clean sheet after half-time100%
ValenciennesAmiens SC
44%No goal after half-time44%
ValenciennesAmiens SC

Valenciennes - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Amiens SC - second-half results

56% W44% D0% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valenciennes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Amiens SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valenciennes
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
0
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Amiens SC
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.11
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valenciennes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Amiens SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
25%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).

Teams vs league

ValenciennesLigaAmiens SC
Average goals in match▲ 2.562.38▼ 1.67
Both teams scored▲ 56%44%▼ 11%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%40%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 22%33%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%73%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%72%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Valenciennes and Amiens SC play?

Valenciennes face Amiens SC on 17 October 2026 in National at Stade du Hainaut. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Valenciennes vs Amiens SC?

Valenciennes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Amiens SC 1.33. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Valenciennes's matches and 11% of Amiens SC's.

What form are Valenciennes and Amiens SC in?

Over the last 5 games Valenciennes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Amiens SC 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valenciennes vs Amiens SC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Valenciennes vs Amiens SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.