Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse: match statistics
Valenciennes displays significantly better shooting form in home matches, averaging 1.25 goals with an xG of 1.7, indicating unfulfilled offensive potential. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and register more shots on target (5.63 vs 3.75), translating into greater control of the game. Bourg-en-Bresse suffers from poor away efficiency—winning just 25% of matches, failing to score in 38% of games, and keeping clean sheets in only 13%. The disparity in xG quality (1.7 vs 1.15 for the visitors) and away goal difference (-2 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts at home) speaks in favor of a Valenciennes victory. Despite weaker form in their last five matches, the hosts should capitalize on home advantage and secure three points in this clash between two bottom-table sides.
Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valenciennes played Bourg-en-Bresse in National (France). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Valenciennes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bourg-en-Bresse: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valenciennes scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.73 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valenciennes 53%, Bourg-en-Bresse 47%. Over 2.5: Valenciennes 40%, Bourg-en-Bresse 47%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Valenciennes has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.09. Valenciennes: 12.2 shots per match, Bourg-en-Bresse: 9.1.
Match halves
Valenciennes: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67. Bourg-en-Bresse: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Valenciennes: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bourg-en-Bresse: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valenciennes displays significantly better shooting form in home matches, averaging 1.25 goals with an xG of 1.7, indicating unfulfilled offensive potential. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and register more shots on target (5.63 vs 3.75), translating into greater control of the game. Bourg-en-Bresse suffers from poor away efficiency—winning just 25% of matches, failing to score in 38% of games, and keeping clean sheets in only 13%. The disparity in xG quality (1.7 vs 1.15 for the visitors) and away goal difference (-2 for the visitors vs +1 for the hosts at home) speaks in favor of a Valenciennes victory. Despite weaker form in their last five matches, the hosts should capitalize on home advantage and secure three points in this clash between two bottom-table sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valenciennes | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valenciennes is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Valenciennes · 0.6 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valenciennes is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Valenciennes · 0.73 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Valenciennes is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Valenciennes · 1.47 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Valenciennes scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valenciennes
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valenciennes is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Valenciennes · 0.67 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-Bresse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Valenciennes | Liga | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.27 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The National match finished Valenciennes 3:1 Bourg-en-Bresse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Valenciennes score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bourg-en-Bresse 0.73. The National average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Valenciennes's matches and 47% of Bourg-en-Bresse's.
What form are Valenciennes and Bourg-en-Bresse in?
Over the last 5 games Valenciennes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bourg-en-Bresse 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valenciennes vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.