Valenciennes vs Dijon: match statistics
Valenciennes vs Dijon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valenciennes played Dijon in National (France). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Valenciennes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dijon: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valenciennes scores 1.14 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Dijon scores 1.61 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valenciennes 57%, Dijon 50%. Over 2.5: Valenciennes 50%, Dijon 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Dijon has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.47. Valenciennes: 11.9 shots per match, Dijon: 12.3.
Match halves
Valenciennes: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Dijon: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Valenciennes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Dijon: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Dijon to win: they lead the table with 15 wins and 45 goals this season versus Valenciennes’ 10 wins and 32 goals. Dijon’s away defence is decisive — only 0.64 goals conceded per match and 50% clean sheets, while Valenciennes concede 1.00 goal on average at home with 36% clean sheets. Valenciennes do create more chances at home: on average 14.57 shots and xG 1.74 per match versus Dijon’s 10.64 shots and xG 1.31 on the road, giving them some offensive potential. In the last 5 matches Valenciennes scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 1.4 points per match, whereas Dijon have 7 scored, 4 conceded and 2.0 points per match, confirming the visitors’ better form. Considering Dijon’s higher shot conversion (11% versus Valenciennes’ 8%) and defensive stability, the favourite’s advantage looks clear.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Valenciennes scores an average of 2.00 goals at home (xG 1.65), averages 14.0 shots with 5.0 on target and has a conversion rate of 14.0%, which strongly suggests the hosts will find the net. Dijon averages 1.21 goals away (xG 1.31) and concedes 0.64 goals on the road, but their xG against of 1.12 indicates the risk of conceding is higher than the raw 0.64 suggests. Season BTTS rates for both teams are 50% each, with the league BTTS average at 53%, while BTTS in the last 5 matches for both teams has dropped to 40%, which slightly balances the projection. Additionally, Valenciennes has a 10% home attacking edge and generates more shots (14.0 vs 10.64), increasing the likelihood that Dijon will concede at least once, even if the visitors have a 50% chance of a clean sheet. Considering the hosts' superior attacking quality, Dijon’s moderate away efficiency and the league tendency for both teams to score, I project BTTS - Yes at about 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Valenciennes averages 2.0 goals scored at home with xG 1.65, while Dijon averages 1.21 goals away with xG 1.31; however Dijon concedes only 0.64 goals away despite xG against of 1.12, which gives a mixed defensive picture. The combined expected xG (1.65 vs 1.12 and 1.31 vs 0.76) translates to an expected 1.39 goals for Valenciennes and 1.04 for Dijon, totaling 2.43 expected goals. A Poisson model on these values estimates the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) at ~70%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) at ~44% and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) at ~23%. Additionally, 71% of Valenciennes’ home matches and 57% of Dijon’s matches finish over 1.5 goals, and on average Valenciennes records 5.0 shots on target versus Dijon's 3.71, which reinforces the goals signal. Based on this, the strongest and safest pick from the data is the Over 1.5 line due to the high 70% probability and the combined expected goals of 2.43.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Valenciennes victory after 90 minutes (X/1). Valenciennes score an average of 2.0 goals at home and have an xG of 1.65 versus Dijon’s 1.31 xG away; the hosts register more shots (14.0 vs 10.64) and win 57% of home matches, all supporting their full-time win. However, Dijon are active early — in the last 5 matches the away side scored 6 goals by half-time compared to 2 for Valenciennes (last5_GoalsHT_overall_away 6 vs home 2) and led at the break in 40% of those games, so a draw or an away lead at HT is realistic. Valenciennes clearly dominate after the break: on average 1.79 second-half goals (AVG_2hg_home 1.79), 1.29 goals scored after half-time (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.29) and 2.0 points gained after the break (ppg_2hg_home 2.0), which raises the chances of a turnaround. Therefore I assigned the highest weight to X/1 (23%), then 1/1 (20%) and a draw after 90 minutes (X/X 16%), with the remaining combinations receiving smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valenciennes | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dijon is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Valenciennes · 2 pts / match - Dijon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dijon is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Valenciennes · 1.61 goals / match - Dijon
Dijon is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Valenciennes · 0.71 goals / match - Dijon
Valenciennes scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Dijon keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
Dijon scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valenciennes
Over / Under - Dijon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dijon is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Valenciennes · 1.71 pts / match - Dijon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dijon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valenciennes
Dijon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Valenciennes | Liga | Dijon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.46 | 2.39 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Valenciennes 0 - 0 - 1 Dijon. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Valenciennes vs Dijon?
The National match finished Valenciennes 0:1 Dijon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valenciennes vs Dijon?
Valenciennes score 1.14 goals per game on average and Dijon 1.61. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Valenciennes's matches and 50% of Dijon's.
What form are Valenciennes and Dijon in?
Over the last 5 games Valenciennes have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dijon 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valenciennes vs Dijon?
The statistical background for Valenciennes vs Dijon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.