Vålerenga vs Aalesund: match statistics
Vålerenga vs Aalesund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vålerenga played Aalesund in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 16 July 2026. Venue: Intility Arena. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
Vålerenga: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Aalesund: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vålerenga scores 1.08 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Aalesund scores 1.42 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vålerenga 42%, Aalesund 83%. Over 2.5: Vålerenga 42%, Aalesund 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Vålerenga has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.54. Vålerenga: 15.3 shots per match, Aalesund: 14.3.
Match halves
Vålerenga: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Aalesund: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Vålerenga: 0-15 (4 goals). Aalesund: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vålerenga holds a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 16.17 shots and 5.33 shots on target per game with xG 1.78, while Aalesund away average 11.6 shots, 3.4 on target and xG 1.19. The hosts score 1.5 goals on average in home matches with a conversion rate of 9% and have a 50% home win rate, whereas the visitors score 1.0 goal away, win only 20% of away games and have no clean sheets. Aalesund is in better recent form, however: 10 goals in the last five matches and an average of 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws), while Vålerenga have 6 goals and 1.2 points per game in that period (2 wins, 3 losses). Defensively the visitors concede 1.6 goals on average away and have xG against 2.11 versus the hosts conceding 1.33 goals and xG against 1.8, which suggests greater defensive vulnerability for Aalesund. Considering the hosts' advantage in xG, shots on target and stronger home record, I tip a Vålerenga win; I assess probabilities at roughly 50% for the home side, 30% for a draw and 20% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is strong: Vålerenga has a season BTTS rate of 100%, Aalesund 60% for the season and 100% in the last 5 matches. Vålerenga scores an average of 1.71 goals per season (xG 1.80) while conceding 2.00, and Aalesund scores 1.00 (xG 1.19) and concedes 1.60, with the visitors averaging 2.0 goals in their last five games. The home side generates more chances: 16.29 shots and 5.71 on target with an 11% conversion, whereas Aalesund has 11.6 shots and 3.4 on target with a 9% conversion, indicating Vålerenga is likely to score and Aalesund will still find the net. Additionally, Aalesund's season xG against is 2.11 and Vålerenga has no clean sheets this season (0%), which together increase the probability of goals from both sides; therefore I estimate BTTS at 78% vs 22% and recommend a
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive data analysis yields 1.96 expected goals for Vålerenga and 1.44 for Aalesund, totaling about 3.40 goals. Vålerenga have a home xG of 1.80 and score on average 1.71 goals per game, whereas Aalesund have an xG of 1.19 and score 1.00 on average, and away they concede on average 2.11 xG — this increases the probability of a higher goal count. Seasonal percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 100% for the home side and 80% for the visitors, which combined with the projected 3.40 xG translates to roughly an 85% chance of Over 1.5. Over 2.5 also has solid support (Vålerenga 86% of home games >2.5, league average 2.94 goals) — the model estimates ~66% for Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 is clearly less certain (~44%). Therefore the strongest signal from the data is to play Over 1.5 (side: over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). The hosts were level at the break in 71% of their matches, and Vålerenga’s games finished level in 57% of cases; additionally Aalesund’s last 5 matches show a form line of 'wwddd' (2 wins, 3 draws), which reinforces the likelihood of a points split. In Vålerenga’s matches both teams scored in 100% of cases, and in Aalesund’s matches in 60%, with half-time average goals of 0.86 (Vålerenga) versus 0.4 (Aalesund), so the first half should be moderately scoring and balanced. Vålerenga generate more xG (1.8 vs 1.19) and on average 5.71 shots on target versus Aalesund’s 3.4, but concede an average of 2.0 goals per game versus Aalesund’s 1.6, which limits their chance of a decisive win. For these reasons the safest signal from the data is X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vålerenga | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aalesund is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1.8 pts / match - Aalesund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aalesund is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Vålerenga · 1.42 goals / match - Aalesund
Vålerenga is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Vålerenga · 1.83 goals / match - Aalesund
Vålerenga scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Aalesund keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Aalesund scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vålerenga
Over / Under - Aalesund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vålerenga is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1.08 pts / match - Aalesund
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aalesund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vålerenga
Aalesund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Vålerenga | Liga | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vålerenga vs Aalesund?
The Eliteserien match finished Vålerenga 6:1 Aalesund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vålerenga vs Aalesund?
Vålerenga score 1.08 goals per game on average and Aalesund 1.42. The Eliteserien average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Vålerenga's matches and 83% of Aalesund's.
What form are Vålerenga and Aalesund in?
Over the last 5 games Vålerenga have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Aalesund 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vålerenga vs Aalesund?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.