Vålerenga vs Viking: match statistics
Vålerenga vs Viking: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vålerenga played Viking in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vålerenga: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Viking: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vålerenga scores 1.50 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Viking scores 2.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vålerenga 0%, Viking 100%. Over 2.5: Vålerenga 0%, Viking 100%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Viking has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.42. Vålerenga: 11.0 shots per match, Viking: 15.0.
Match halves
Vålerenga: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Viking: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Vålerenga: 0-15 (1 goals). Viking: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) based on their outstanding home record: 100% wins, an average of 0 goals conceded per match and 100% clean sheets in home fixtures. The hosts average 12 shots per home match, 5 on target, with a shot conversion of 8%, and their average home xG is 1.59 versus xG against 1.82, indicating they create slightly fewer quality chances than they concede. Viking have stronger control and activity (61% possession, 18 shots per match and xG 1.88) and have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, but on the road they concede an average of 2 goals and, according to the data, have 100% away losses. Additionally, Viking have lower shot efficiency away (conversion 6%, averaging 4 shots on target), which limits the real translation of possession and shots into goals. Consequently I predict a Vålerenga win with probability 55%, draw 20% and a Viking win 25% — the hosts benefit from an excellent home record, but the visitors create enough chances to keep the result open.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Very strong signal for BTTS: both teams have 100% BTTS this season (Vålerenga 100% and Viking 100%) and both teams have 100% of matches >2.5 goals combined with BTTS. In the last 5 matches there is a divergence: Vålerenga had BTTS in 40% (2/5), Viking in 80% (4/5), giving an edge to the away side in consistency. xG and form analysis supports this direction: in the last 5 matches Vålerenga xG is 1.20 with xG against 1.76, while Viking xG is 1.56 with xG against 0.96; average goals in the last 5 are 1.4 (home) vs 2.8 (away). Additionally Vålerenga averages 12 shots with 6 on target and has a high conversion rate of 33%, whereas Viking averages 18 shots with 4 on target and a conversion rate of 6%, suggesting Viking creates more chances despite lower conversion. Considering both teams’ 100% season BTTS, Viking’s 80% BTTS in the last 5, and higher xG and away goals average 2.8 vs home 1.4, I forecast BTTS - Yes at 80% and No at 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A simplified xG model (average of team xG and opponent xG against) gives an expected 1.32 goals for Vålerenga ((1.39+1.25)/2) and 1.63 for Viking ((1.88+1.38)/2), totaling 2.95 expected goals. Vålerenga averages 12 shots with a 33% conversion (12*0.33≈3.96) and has seasonScoredAVG_home 4.0, while Viking has 18 shots at 6% conversion (18*0.06≈1.08) despite a higher xG of 1.88 — indicating Viking creates higher-quality chances and Vålerenga has very high conversion. Season stats show both teams with BTTS 100% and season over 2.5 at 100%, but in the last 5 matches Viking has 100% over 2.5 versus Vålerenga’s 40%, which further favors the over. Considering the 2.95 expected goals, high BTTS rate and conversion disparities, I estimate probabilities of Over 1.5 at 92%, Over 2.5 at 72% and Over 3.5 at 33%. The best market to play appears to be Over 2.5, as the combined xG signal (2.95), 100% season over/BTTS and Viking’s 100% over 2.5 in their last 5 matches provide an edge for the over.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: Vålerenga have very strong home statistics — they average 4.0 goals at home per season and have led at the break in 100% of home matches (1 of 1), with an average of 3.0 goals scored before half-time. Viking, by contrast, average 1.0 goal away, have 0.0 away points and 0% wins on the road, which significantly weakens their comeback potential. Although the visitors’ xG is higher (1.88 versus the hosts’ 1.39), their shot conversion is only 6.0% compared to Vålerenga’s 33.0%, and the home side register more on-target shots (6.0 vs 4.0), all of which supports maintaining the lead. Additionally, both teams have had 100% of matches this season in which both scored, so I expect goal exchanges, but the safest scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and remaining ahead at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vålerenga | Viking | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vålerenga is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1.5 pts / match - Viking
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viking is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vålerenga · 2.5 goals / match - Viking
Vålerenga scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Viking keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Viking scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Vålerenga keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vålerenga
Over / Under - Viking
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vålerenga is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Vålerenga · 1.5 pts / match - Viking
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vålerenga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Viking - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vålerenga
Viking
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Vålerenga | Liga | Viking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 3.00 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vålerenga 1 - 0 - 1 Viking. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vålerenga vs Viking?
The Eliteserien match finished Vålerenga 0:1 Viking. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vålerenga and Viking?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 1, Viking won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vålerenga vs Viking?
Vålerenga score 1.50 goals per game on average and Viking 2.50. The Eliteserien average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Vålerenga's matches and 100% of Viking's.
What form are Vålerenga and Viking in?
Over the last 5 games Vålerenga have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Viking 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vålerenga vs Viking?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


