Valletta vs Zabbar St. Patrick: match statistics

Zabbar St. Patrick have the better record over their last five matches, collecting 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while Valletta have managed just 4 points. The visitors have scored 9 goals during this period, averaging 1.8 per match, compared with Valletta’s tally of just 3, an average of 0.6 goals per game. The defensive figures are equally significant: Zabbar have conceded 6 goals in their last five matches, while the hosts have conceded as many as 10, averaging 2 goals against per game. Valletta have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and enter this fixture on a two-match losing streak, whereas the visitors have won twice in their last four league fixtures. The visitors’ superior attacking efficiency and lower number of goals conceded support a win for Zabbar St. Patrick, although a draw remains a realistic outcome given that both teams have recorded one draw during this period.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, primarily due to Valletta’s weak attacking output: they have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game. Their average xG over this period is only 0.73, while Zabbar St. Patrick allow opponents just 0.98 xG and concede an average of 1.2 goals. The visitors are significantly more effective in attack, scoring 9 goals in 5 appearances and averaging 1.8 goals per game, making a win without the hosts scoring a realistic scenario. Although BTTS landed in 60% of Zabbar’s last matches, it occurred in only 40% of Valletta’s, while their average of 2.0 goals conceded per game further supports a result in which only the visitors get on the scoresheet.

Data from the last five matches indicates a clear offensive edge for Żabbar St. Patrick, who scored an average of 1.8 goals, while Valletta conceded 2.0 goals per match. The hosts scored only 3 goals during this period, averaging 0.6 per game, with their average xG standing at just 0.73. At the same time, Żabbar St. Patrick allowed opponents an xG of 0.98 and conceded an average of 1.2 goals, limiting Valletta’s chances of making a significant contribution to the goal tally. For both teams, 3 of their last 5 matches went Over 2.5 goals, but the expected total of 2.35 and the hosts’ weak attacking output more clearly support a maximum of three goals. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as a four-goal or higher scenario would require Valletta to be considerably more clinical than their recent form suggests.

Zabbar St. Patrick have shown clearly better form across their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored, 1.2 conceded and 1.4 points per game, compared with Valletta’s figures of just 0.6 goals scored, 2.0 conceded and 0.8 points. At half-time, the visitors were level in 75% of those matches and never went into the break trailing, strongly supporting the half-time draw option. Valletta were behind after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five appearances, scoring just 0.2 goals per game before the break while conceding 1.0. Zabbar’s advantage should become more evident after half-time, as they average 1.25 goals in the second half compared with Valletta’s 0.4. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2).