Latvia - 1. LigaVidzemes Olimpiskais centrsData current as of 18 September 2026

Valmiera / BSS vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Valmiera / BSS vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valmiera / BSS play Beitar / Riga Mariners in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.

Current form

Valmiera / BSS: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valmiera / BSS scores 2.90 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 2.30 and concedes 1.05. League average: 3.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valmiera / BSS 75%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 65%. Over 2.5: Valmiera / BSS 85%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 70%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.

xG, shots and style

Beitar / Riga Mariners has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.81. Valmiera / BSS: 12.3 shots per match, Beitar / Riga Mariners: 11.7.

Match halves

Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00. Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.10.

Goals by minute

Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (16 goals). Beitar / Riga Mariners: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.73 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
2.9Goals scored / match2.3
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.95Goals conceded / match1.05
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
52%Average possession47%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
6.8Shots on target / match5.65
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.35Shots per match11.7
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
6.8Shots on target5.65
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
23.5%Shot conversion19.7%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
52%Possession47%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.81xG for1.84
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.51xG against1.25
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

Shooting quality

Valmiera / BSS: Efficient finishingBeitar / Riga Mariners: Counter-attacking
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
Accuracy (shots on target)55%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valmiera / BSS is 8% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 2.4 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Valmiera / BSS
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
80% W15% D5% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-3-1
2.55 pts / match · goal difference +39
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Beitar / Riga Mariners
WWWWL
Season result split
65% W25% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-2
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-1-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valmiera / BSS is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

2.9 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 2.3 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Valmiera / BSS is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.05 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Valmiera / BSS scoring profile: very strong

Valmiera / BSS scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Beitar / Riga Mariners scoring profile: very strong

Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (20 of 20 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

58Goals scored (season)46
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
19Goals conceded (season)21
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
3.85Average goals in match3.35
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
18Goals scored (last 5)16
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

How often they score at least...

95%1 goal100%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
85%2 goals70%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
60%3 goals40%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
35%4 goals15%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal65%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
15%2 goals30%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
5%3 goals5%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0%4 goals5%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
Beitar / Riga Mariners - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 20 matches
65%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
55%Scored in both halves40%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
100%BTTS - last 580%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
85%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
55%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Beitar / Riga Mariners is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 2 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners

Valmiera / BSS - half-time state
50% leading40% draw10% trailing
Beitar / Riga Mariners - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per match (1st half)2
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.9Goals scored (1st half)1.1
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.5
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
75%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
35%No goal before half-time30%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

After half-time (2nd half)

2.35Points per match (2nd half)1.85
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
2Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
2.65Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
50%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners
15%No goal after half-time35%
Valmiera / BSSBeitar / Riga Mariners

Valmiera / BSS - second-half results

70% W25% D5% L
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results

55% W20% D25% L
40
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Valmiera / BSS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.60
Goals scored / match1.42.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+8
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Beitar / Riga Mariners - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.80
Goals scored / match2.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match2.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals80%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+7+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valmiera / BSS
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
4
31-45
14
3
46-60
10
4
61-75
16
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Beitar / Riga Mariners
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
13
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
9
4
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
95%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valmiera / BSS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Beitar / Riga Mariners

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Valmiera / BSSLigaBeitar / Riga Mariners
Average goals in match 3.853.73 3.35
Both teams scored 75%65% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 85%71% 70%
Clean sheets 25%19% 35%
Goal before half-time 70%77% 85%
Goal after half-time 90%84% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.73
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
2.07
Home goals / match
1.66
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Valmiera / BSS 0 - 0 - 1 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Valmiera / BSS and Beitar / Riga Mariners play?

Valmiera / BSS face Beitar / Riga Mariners on 19 September 2026 in 1. Liga at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?

Valmiera / BSS score 2.90 goals per game on average and Beitar / Riga Mariners 2.30. The 1. Liga average is 3.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 65% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's.

What form are Valmiera / BSS and Beitar / Riga Mariners in?

Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Beitar / Riga Mariners 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?

The statistical background for Valmiera / BSS vs Beitar / Riga Mariners — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.