Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts: match statistics
Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valmiera / BSS played JDFS Alberts in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Valmiera / BSS: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. JDFS Alberts: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valmiera / BSS scores 3.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. JDFS Alberts scores 1.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valmiera / BSS 83%, JDFS Alberts 80%. Over 2.5: Valmiera / BSS 100%, JDFS Alberts 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 2.18 vs 1.82. Valmiera / BSS: 15.7 shots per match, JDFS Alberts: 14.0.
Match halves
Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 2.83. JDFS Alberts: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Valmiera / BSS: 46-60 (7 goals). JDFS Alberts: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.47 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valmiera / BSS are clear favorites: the hosts have won all 6 matches this season (6-0-0) and average 3.5 goals scored at home while conceding only 0.5 per game. Their home xG is 3.03, with 22.5 shots and 17 on target per match, whereas JDFS Alberts on the road averages xG 1.9, 14.67 shots and only 5.33 shots on target. Defensively the hosts also dominate: Valmiera have 50% of home games as clean sheets and an average xG against of 0.64, while the visitors concede 2.0 goals per away match and have no away clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Valmiera scored 17 goals (3.4 per game) and are 5/5 wins, while JDFS are 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 (9 goals in those games) and have an away form of 'llw' with two defeats. Considering the superiority in finishing (3.5 vs 1.67 goals per game), xG (3.03 vs 1.9) and far more shots on target (17 vs 5.33), I tip the hosts to win; I estimate Valmiera’s win probability at 80%, draw 12% and JDFS victory 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'both teams to score' scenario is more likely as JDFS Alberts has a season BTTS of 100% and a season clean sheets percentage of 0%, while Valmiera has a season BTTS of 50% and 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games, and the league has an overall BTTS rate of 61% with an average of 3.54 goals per game, favoring matches with goals at both ends. xG and goal statistics show Valmiera scores 2.0 goals on average for the season and 3.4 in the last 5 with an attacking xG of 1.71, while JDFS has an attacking xG of 1.9 and a season average of 2.0 goals conceded, meaning both sides create chances and concede goals. Additionally, shots on target 5.0 vs 5.33 and total shots 13.0 vs 14.67 and conversion rates 15% vs 11% indicate both teams have realistic opportunities to finish actions with a goal. Taking all this into account, I back BTTS - Yes at 80% probability versus 20% for No as the strongest and numerically justified signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 3.61 (1.71 for Valmiera/BSS vs 1.90 for JDFS Alberts), indicating approximately 3.6 expected goals in the match. Valmiera averages 2.0 goals across the season and as many as 3.4 in the last 5 matches (17 goals), while JDFS Alberts has a season average of 1.67 and 1.8 in the last 5; together in the last five meetings both teams averaged 5.2 goals per game. Both sides have 100% of season matches over 1.5 goals, the league records 71% of fixtures over 2.5 goals, and JDFS Alberts concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of Over. Based on xG and form I forecast about 1.71 goals for the home side and 1.90 for the away side (total 3.61), which translates to a high probability for Over 1.5 (95%) and Over 2.5 (72%) and a moderate chance for Over 3.5 (52%). The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the safest and most justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with the home side winning at full-time (X/1). The hosts have won 100% of their matches this season, been level at the break in 100% of cases and average 0.0 goals by half-time. In the second half the home team average 2.0 goals and have a 100% win rate in second halves, which strongly suggests a turnaround after the break. The visitors average 1.33 goals by half-time and have an xG of 1.90 versus the hosts’ 1.71, yet concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and have a lower shot conversion rate (11% vs. the hosts’ 15%), so maintaining a lead at the break appears unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valmiera / BSS | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 69% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Valmiera / BSS is 67% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.8 pts / match - JDFS Alberts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
3.33 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.8 goals / match - JDFS Alberts
Valmiera / BSS is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.4 goals / match - JDFS Alberts
Valmiera / BSS scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while JDFS Alberts keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
JDFS Alberts scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valmiera / BSS
Over / Under - JDFS Alberts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valmiera / BSS is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1 pts / match - JDFS Alberts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
JDFS Alberts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valmiera / BSS
JDFS Alberts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Valmiera / BSS | Liga | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.33 | 3.47 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts?
The 1. Liga match finished Valmiera / BSS 1:1 JDFS Alberts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts?
Valmiera / BSS score 3.33 goals per game on average and JDFS Alberts 1.80. The 1. Liga average is 3.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 80% of JDFS Alberts's.
What form are Valmiera / BSS and JDFS Alberts in?
Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and JDFS Alberts 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts?
The statistical background for Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.