Latvia - 1. LigaVidzemes Olimpiskais centrsData current as of 20 October 2026

Valmiera / BSS vs JFK Ventspils: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Valmiera / BSS vs JFK Ventspils: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valmiera / BSS play JFK Ventspils in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.

Current form

Valmiera / BSS: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. JFK Ventspils: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valmiera / BSS scores 2.74 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. JFK Ventspils scores 0.91 and concedes 1.96. League average: 3.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valmiera / BSS 78%, JFK Ventspils 52%. Over 2.5: Valmiera / BSS 83%, JFK Ventspils 52%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

xG, shots and style

Valmiera / BSS has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.28. Valmiera / BSS: 11.2 shots per match, JFK Ventspils: 7.0.

Match halves

Valmiera / BSS: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.83. JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Valmiera / BSS: 76-90+ (18 goals). JFK Ventspils: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.71 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
2.74Goals scored / match0.91
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
1.13Goals conceded / match1.96
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
47%Average possession42%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
6.13Shots on target / match2.78
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.22Shots per match7
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
6.13Shots on target2.78
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
24.4%Shot conversion13%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
47%Possession42%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
1.8xG for1.28
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
1.49xG against1.62
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

Shooting quality

Valmiera / BSS: Counter-attackingJFK Ventspils: Counter-attacking
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
Accuracy (shots on target)55%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valmiera / BSS is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 0.8 pts / match - JFK Ventspils

Valmiera / BSS
DWLDD
Season result split
70% W22% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-5-2
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
JFK Ventspils
LWLLD
Season result split
13% W30% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-13
0.70 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valmiera / BSS is 201% better for: goals scored per match.

2.74 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 0.91 goals / match - JFK Ventspils

Valmiera / BSS is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.96 goals / match - JFK Ventspils

Valmiera / BSS scoring profile: very strong

Valmiera / BSS scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

JFK Ventspils scoring profile: strong

JFK Ventspils scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

63Goals scored (season)21
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
26Goals conceded (season)45
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
3.87Average goals in match2.87
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
9Goals scored (last 5)1
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
10Goals conceded (last 5)12
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

How often they score at least...

96%1 goal61%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
83%2 goals22%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
52%3 goals9%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
30%4 goals0%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal83%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
22%2 goals52%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
9%3 goals30%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
4%4 goals17%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time22%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
48%Scored in both halves13%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
100%BTTS - last 50%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
57%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valmiera / BSS is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / match - Valmiera / BSS · 1.04 pts / match - JFK Ventspils

Valmiera / BSS - half-time state
48% leading39% draw13% trailing
JFK Ventspils - half-time state
22% leading39% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per match (1st half)1.04
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.52
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.39
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
70%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
39%No goal before half-time57%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

After half-time (2nd half)

2.22Points per match (2nd half)0.83
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
1.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)1.09
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
2.57Average goals (2nd half)1.48
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
48%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils
22%No goal after half-time70%
Valmiera / BSSJFK Ventspils

Valmiera / BSS - second-half results

65% W26% D9% L
42
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+25
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

JFK Ventspils - second-half results

17% W30% D52% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding59%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Valmiera / BSS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
JFK Ventspils - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-7-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valmiera / BSS
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
6
1
16-30
7
5
31-45
14
3
46-60
10
6
61-75
18
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

JFK Ventspils
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
3
9
31-45
2
8
46-60
2
6
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valmiera / BSS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.94
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

JFK Ventspils

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Valmiera / BSSLigaJFK Ventspils
Average goals in match▲ 3.873.71▼ 2.87
Both teams scored▲ 78%63%▼ 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%70%▼ 52%
Clean sheets▲ 22%20%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%76%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 87%83%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.71
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.04
Home goals / match
1.66
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Valmiera / BSS 1 - 0 - 0 JFK Ventspils. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Valmiera / BSS and JFK Ventspils play?

Valmiera / BSS face JFK Ventspils on 24 October 2026 in 1. Liga at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs JFK Ventspils?

Valmiera / BSS score 2.74 goals per game on average and JFK Ventspils 0.91. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 52% of JFK Ventspils's.

What form are Valmiera / BSS and JFK Ventspils in?

Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and JFK Ventspils 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs JFK Ventspils?

The statistical background for Valmiera / BSS vs JFK Ventspils — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.