Valur vs Breidablik: match statistics
Valur vs Breidablik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valur play Breidablik in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 20:15. Venue: Origovöllurinn. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Breidablik: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valur scores 1.63 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Breidablik scores 2.27 and concedes 1.73. League average: 4.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valur 69%, Breidablik 73%. Over 2.5: Valur 69%, Breidablik 73%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Breidablik has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.67. Valur: 14.0 shots per match, Breidablik: 14.1.
Match halves
Valur: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Breidablik: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Valur: 0-15 (6 goals). Breidablik: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.04 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a draw (X): Valur creates significantly more chances at home (avg. 14.25 shots and 4.75 on target per match) and scores 1.75 goals per game, but also concedes 1.75 on average and has home xG 1.77 vs xG conceded 2.13 (xG difference -0.36). Breidablik away averages 8.33 shots and 2.0 on target, scores 1.0 goal, but defends very effectively — conceding only 0.67 goals on the road, with no away losses, 33% clean sheets and 67% draws away. In form over the last five matches Valur has 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per game), while Breidablik has 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per game), giving the visitors a points and stability edge. Quality of chances indicates hosts have higher home xG (1.77 vs guests’ away xG 1.03), but both teams show negative xG differences in these circumstances (Valur -0.36, Breidablik -0.66), so the contest should be balanced and dependent on finishing. Considering Valur’s greater volume of created opportunities (14.25 vs 8.33) and Breidablik’s defensive resilience (0.67 conceded away), I forecast a draw (X), although occasional goals from both sides are possible.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valur | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Breidablik is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Valur · 2 pts / match - Breidablik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Breidablik is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Valur · 2.27 goals / match - Breidablik
Breidablik is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Valur · 1.73 goals / match - Breidablik
Valur scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Breidablik scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Valur
Over / Under — Breidablik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Breidablik is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Valur · 1.47 pts / match - Breidablik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Breidablik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valur
Breidablik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Valur | Liga | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.63 | 4.04 | • 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 69% | 74% | • 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 69% | 73% | • 73% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Valur 1 - 1 - 1 Breidablik. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Valur vs Breidablik?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Valur 3:2 Breidablik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Valur and Breidablik?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Valur won 1, Breidablik won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs Breidablik?
Valur score 1.63 goals per game on average and Breidablik 2.27. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Valur's matches and 73% of Breidablik's.
What form are Valur and Breidablik in?
Over the last 5 games Valur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Breidablik 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs Breidablik?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Valur vs Breidablik: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.