Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildOrigovöllurinnData current as of 30 August 2026

Valur vs ÍA: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Valur vs ÍA: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Valur play ÍA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Origovöllurinn.

Current form

Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. ÍA: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Valur scores 1.75 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. ÍA scores 1.70 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Valur 70%, ÍA 70%. Over 2.5: Valur 70%, ÍA 65%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

xG, shots and style

Valur has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.73. Valur: 15.1 shots per match, ÍA: 15.4.

Match halves

Valur: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85. ÍA: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.05.

Goals by minute

Valur: 76-90+ (10 goals). ÍA: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.93 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 69%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.75Goals scored / match1.7
ValurÍA
2.1Goals conceded / match1.9
ValurÍA
50%Average possession49%
ValurÍA
5.35Shots on target / match5.2
ValurÍA

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.1Shots per match15.4
ValurÍA
5.35Shots on target5.2
ValurÍA
11.6%Shot conversion11%
ValurÍA
50%Possession49%
ValurÍA
1.74xG for1.73
ValurÍA
2.24xG against1.75
ValurÍA

Shooting quality

Valur: AttackingÍA: Attacking
ValurÍA
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

ÍA is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Valur · 2.2 pts / match - ÍA

Valur
LLWDL
Season result split
35% W10% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-11
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.15Opponent xG: 2.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
ÍA
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W25% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-8
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

ÍA is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.1 goals / match - Valur · 1.9 goals / match - ÍA

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).

ÍA scoring profile: very strong

ÍA scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).

35Goals scored (season)34
ValurÍA
42Goals conceded (season)38
ValurÍA
3.85Average goals in match3.6
ValurÍA
11Goals scored (last 5)13
ValurÍA
13Goals conceded (last 5)5
ValurÍA

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal85%
ValurÍA
50%2 goals55%
ValurÍA
30%3 goals20%
ValurÍA
15%4 goals5%
ValurÍA

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal85%
ValurÍA
65%2 goals50%
ValurÍA
35%3 goals30%
ValurÍA
15%4 goals15%
ValurÍA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time10%
ValurÍA
10%BTTS in both halves10%
ValurÍA
40%Scored in both halves35%
ValurÍA

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
ValurÍA
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
ValurÍA
80%BTTS - last 580%
ValurÍA

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ValurÍA
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
ValurÍA
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
ValurÍA

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
ValurÍA
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
ValurÍA
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time45%
ValurÍA

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

ÍA is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Valur · 1.5 pts / match - ÍA

Valur - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
ÍA - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)1.5
ValurÍA
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.65
ValurÍA
1.05Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
ValurÍA
1.95Average goals (1st half)1.2
ValurÍA
45%Clean sheet before half-time60%
ValurÍA
35%No goal before half-time50%
ValurÍA

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.25
ValurÍA
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
ValurÍA
1.05Goals conceded (2nd half)1.35
ValurÍA
1.9Average goals (2nd half)2.4
ValurÍA
30%Clean sheet after half-time35%
ValurÍA
45%No goal after half-time30%
ValurÍA

Valur - second-half results

25% W30% R45% P
26
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

ÍA - second-half results

30% W35% R35% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Valur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.2
Average goals in match2.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
ÍA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
4
8
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
6
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

ÍA
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
7
31-45
11
6
46-60
5
11
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.72
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

ÍA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

ValurLigaÍA
Average goals in match 3.853.93 3.60
Both teams scored 70%70% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%69% 65%
Clean sheets 10%17% 15%
Goal before half-time 85%82% 80%
Goal after half-time 85%86% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.93
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
2.12
Home goals / match
1.80
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
15%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
61%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Valur 1 - 1 - 1 ÍA. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

ÍA
1 : 0
Valur
ÍA Akranes
2 : 2
Valur Reykjavík
Valur Reykjavík
6 : 1
ÍA Akranes

FAQ

When do Valur and ÍA play?

Valur face ÍA on 30 August 2026 in Úrvalsdeild at Origovöllurinn. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Valur and ÍA?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Valur won 1, ÍA won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs ÍA?

Valur score 1.75 goals per game on average and ÍA 1.70. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Valur's matches and 70% of ÍA's.

What form are Valur and ÍA in?

Over the last 5 games Valur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and ÍA 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs ÍA?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.