Van BB vs Batman Petrolspor: match statistics

Batman Petrolspor sit 4th, while Van BB are only 16th, and the gap is reflected in their current form: the visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins and 2 draws), whereas the hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 fixtures. Van BB have conceded as many as 14 goals in their last five appearances, while at home they concede an average of 2 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors have scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals away from home, and have not failed to score in any away fixture. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.10 xG at home, but have failed to score in as many as 50% of such matches. Combined with Petrolspor’s superior finishing efficiency (22% compared to 14%), this points towards an away win. Batman Petrolspor’s defence is not flawless, as they allow opponents 2.16 xG away from home, so a Van BB goal remains a realistic scenario. However, the advantage in form and attacking consistency clearly lies with the visitors.

The signal for both teams to score is strengthened by their current form: Van BB recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Batman Petrolspor did so in 60%, conceding an average of 2.8 and 1.2 goals respectively. The hosts scored just 1.2 goals per game during this period, but the visitors failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, with a high average xG against of 1.72. Batman Petrolspor are highly dangerous offensively, scoring an average of 3.0 goals in their last five games and creating chances worth 1.49 xG, while Van BB conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match. Although Van BB have kept a clean sheet in their matches at home so far, their poor run of four defeats in five games and 14 goals conceded support the prospect of the visitors scoring. BTTS - Yes is therefore more likely than a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of the last five matches involving both teams. Van BB conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match during this run, while Batman Petrolspor averaged 3.0 goals scored, clearly strengthening the visitors’ attacking potential. At the same time, the hosts’ average xG stands at 1.45 and the visitors’ at 1.49, meaning both sides regularly create chances worth nearly 3 goals in total. Batman Petrolspor has scored in every match so far, and its games have averaged 3.5 goals, making the two-goal threshold particularly attractive.

The strongest scenario is for Batman Petrolspor to lead at the break and win the match, as they have been ahead at half-time in 80% of their last five matches, while Van BB were trailing at that stage in 40% of theirs. The visitors are unbeaten in this sequence, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, whereas the hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged only 0.6 points per game, compared with 2.2 for their opponents. Batman Petrolspor’s superiority is also evident in their attacking output: they have scored an average of 3.0 goals across their last five appearances, compared with 1.2 for Van BB, while the hosts have conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match. After half-time, the visitors average 1.8 goals, while Van BB concede 1.4 in this period, increasing the likelihood that the away side will not only take the lead but also hold on to it until the final whistle. Although the hosts have home advantage and a seasonal xG of 1.49, their weaker current form and opponents’ xG against them of 2.16 support a Batman Petrolspor win.