Van vs BKMA: match statistics
Van vs BKMA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Van played BKMA in Armenian Premier League (Armenia). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Van: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. BKMA: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Van scores 1.10 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. BKMA scores 1.05 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Van 57%, BKMA 59%. Over 2.5: Van 62%, BKMA 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
BKMA has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.15. Van: 10.3 shots per match, BKMA: 11.9.
Match halves
Van: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.81. BKMA: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Van: 76-90+ (7 goals). BKMA: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Armenian Premier League: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home win for Van. Van posts superior home metrics: on average 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per match, 36% home win rate and 18% clean sheets, while BKMA away averages 1.10 goals scored, 2.00 conceded and only a 10% away win rate. Visitors register higher possession (52% vs 40%), higher xG (1.30 vs 1.15) and more shots on target (4.7 vs 3.36), but their away conversion is only 9% versus Van’s 13%, which limits their actual threat. In the last 5 matches Van scored 5 and conceded 10, with a 1-1-3 record, while BKMA scored 2 and conceded 5, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, indicating poor form for both sides. Given Van’s better home record, superior efficiency and BKMA’s very low away win percentage, I assign Van a 60% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams consistently score and concede: Van averages 1.0 goals for and 1.08 against per match, while BKMA average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded. Season BTTS rates are 50% for Van and 70% for BKMA (league 46%), and Van’s last 5 matches show BTTS 60%, collectively indicating a higher probability of Goal/Goal. Average xG are similar (1.35 Van vs 1.30 BKMA), and BKMA register more on-target shots 4.7 vs 3.75, which at conversion rates of 8% vs 9% provides realistic scoring chances for both sides. Counterpoints are BKMA’s low scoring form in the last 5 matches (0.4 goals per game, 2 goals in 5) and their recent BTTS 40%, but their recent xG 1.48 shows chances are being created. Considering season BTTS 50%/70%, higher share of on-target shots and comparable xG, I assess the probability of Yes at about 65% vs 35% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimates show Van with xG_for 1.35, while BKMA as the away side concedes xG 1.72, yielding roughly 1.54 expected goals for Van; conversely BKMA has xG_for 1.30 and Van xG_against 1.58, giving about 1.44 for the visitors. The total expected goals of 2.98 is above the league average of 2.52 and well above the 1.5 threshold, which strongly favors Over 1.5. Seasonal rates confirm this direction: Van have 67% of matches over 1.5 goals, BKMA 90%, and BTTS is 50% and 70% respectively, so both teams frequently score and concede. Over 2.5 also has moderate backing (seasonal 42% for Van and 60% for BKMA with combined xG 2.98), whereas Over 3.5 is less likely (seasonal 25%/40%). Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while Over 2.5 is a moderate-value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time/Full-Time draw/draw (X/X) appears the most likely outcome: home teams were level at the break in 42% of matches, away teams in 40%, while homes draw 50% of their season matches (aways 30%), which provides a strong signal for a points split. First-half scoring rate is low — homes average 0.25 goals by half-time, aways 0.8, while xG is similar: 1.35 (Van) versus 1.3 (BKMA), so I do not expect a decisive advantage in the first half. Homes finish matches maintaining a lead after the break in 75% of cases, and aways in 50%, yet homes lead at half-time in only 17% of outings (aways 30%), so leading situations are rare and a draw at the break occurs more often. Additionally, homes are stronger in the second half on points (they average 1.33 points after the break versus 0.5 for aways), which increases the chance of a shared result; therefore I assign X/X the highest probability (28%), with the remaining scenarios distributed according to the above projection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Van | BKMA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Van is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Van · 0.6 pts / match - BKMA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Van is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Van · 1.05 goals / match - BKMA
BKMA is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Van · 1.5 goals / match - BKMA
Van scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while BKMA keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
BKMA scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Van keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Van
Over / Under - BKMA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BKMA is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Van · 1.09 pts / match - BKMA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Van - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
BKMA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Van
BKMA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Armenian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Van | Liga | BKMA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.52 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Van 1 - 1 - 0 BKMA. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Van vs BKMA?
The Armenian Premier League match finished Van 1:2 BKMA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Van and BKMA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Van won 1, BKMA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Van vs BKMA?
Van score 1.10 goals per game on average and BKMA 1.05. The Armenian Premier League average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Van's matches and 59% of BKMA's.
What form are Van and BKMA in?
Over the last 5 games Van have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and BKMA 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Van vs BKMA?
The statistical background for Van vs BKMA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.