Vancouver FC vs Forge FC: match statistics
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vancouver FC played Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vancouver FC: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Forge FC: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vancouver FC scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Forge FC scores 2.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vancouver FC 0%, Forge FC 0%. Over 2.5: Vancouver FC 0%, Forge FC 0%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver FC has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.22. Vancouver FC: 17.0 shots per match, Forge FC: 10.0.
Match halves
Vancouver FC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Forge FC: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Vancouver FC: 0-15 (0 goals). Forge FC: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (Forge FC): they top the table (1 vs Vancouver 6) and have a better points average over the last 5 matches — 0.8 points per game vs 0.4 for the home side. Vancouver create a lot at home (avg. 17 shots, 5 on target and xG 1.91 per game), yet paradoxically average 0 goals scored at home and a 100% 'failed to score' rate, indicating serious finishing issues. On paper Forge have 2 goals for and 0 against this season, and in the last 5 matches they scored 4 and conceded 7, so the visitors are intermittently effective going forward but defensively more stable in the short term (Forge conceded 7 vs Vancouver's 11 conceded in the last 5). Considering the visitors' positional advantage, superior recent defensive records and the hosts' atrocious finishing (0 goals at home despite xG 1.91), I assign 45% to a Forge win, 30% to a draw and 25% to a Vancouver win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analyzing the data, the last 5 matches show BTTS at 20% for Vancouver and 40% for Forge (average 30%), which is close to the league average of 33% and gives an initial signal of a low probability of both teams scoring. Vancouver scored a total of 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 per game) and conceded 11 goals (2.2 per game), while Forge scored 4 goals (0.8) and conceded 7 (1.4), meaning Vancouver has very low attacking efficiency despite high defensive vulnerability. Seasonally Vancouver has 100% clean sheets, and both teams have season BTTS of 0%, which in this small seasonal sample further favors matches without both teams scoring. From an xG perspective both sides generate around 1.0 xG in the last 5 (1.02 vs 1.17) while allowing 1.51 and 1.38 xG, however the low conversion of these chances (actual goals 0.4 and 0.8) reduces the likelihood of BTTS, so I pick "No" (70% vs 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I based the forecast on the last five matches and xG: the last 5 yield xG 1.02 for Vancouver and 1.17 for Forge, totaling 2.19 expected goals. Vancouver at home has a seasonal average of 2.0 goals scored and 100% of home matches with Over 1.5, while in the last 5 Vancouver scored a total of 2 goals (0.4 per match) and conceded 11 (2.2 per match), and Forge in the last 5 have 4 scored (0.8 per match) and 7 conceded (1.4 per match). Since the combined xG of 2.19 significantly exceeds the 1.5 line, and Vancouver’s home metrics indicate 100% Over 1.5, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess a 78% chance). The 2.5 line is closer to the expected value, so I give it a moderate lean to Under (55% Under vs 45% Over), and Over 3.5 I rate as unlikely (18% Over), especially as the seasonal Over 3.5 percentages for both teams are 0%/0%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics indicate a clear home advantage for Vancouver FC: on average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, xG 1.22 versus 0.0 for Forge, and an average of 10.0 shots with 4.0 on target compared to 0.0 for the visitors. In first halves the hosts average 1.0 goal and have led at the break in 100% of home matches, and the season home clean sheet rate is 100%. For this reason the most likely scenario is Vancouver leading at the break and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1): the model assigns a 60% probability to this, based in part on 100% home wins this season and an average of 3.0 points gained per home match. At the same time caution is warranted, because in the last 5 matches overall Vancouver has 0.0% wins and form 'ddlll', which justifies some margin for draws or a loss of the lead. Therefore the model allocates the remaining probability to alternatives: 12% for X/1 and 8% for X/X, but the primary signal remains 1/1 given the xG 1.22 vs 0.0, the shots stats 10.0 vs 0.0 and 100% leads at the break for the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vancouver FC | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vancouver FC scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).
Forge FC scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Vancouver FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vancouver FC
Over / Under - Forge FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Vancouver FC · 3 pts / match - Forge FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vancouver FC - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vancouver FC
Forge FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Vancouver FC | Liga | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 67% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 67% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 100% | 100% | • 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Vancouver FC 0 - 1 - 3 Forge FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vancouver FC vs Forge FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Vancouver FC 0:1 Forge FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vancouver FC and Forge FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Vancouver FC won 0, Forge FC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vancouver FC vs Forge FC?
Vancouver FC score 0.00 goals per game on average and Forge FC 2.00. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Vancouver FC's matches and 0% of Forge FC's.
What form are Vancouver FC and Forge FC in?
Over the last 5 games Vancouver FC have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Forge FC 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vancouver FC vs Forge FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vancouver FC vs Forge FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.