Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City: match statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vancouver Whitecaps played New York City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Vancouver Whitecaps: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. New York City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps scores 2.83 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. New York City scores 2.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vancouver Whitecaps 33%, New York City 83%. Over 2.5: Vancouver Whitecaps 67%, New York City 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver Whitecaps has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.50. Vancouver Whitecaps: 15.7 shots per match, New York City: 12.5.
Match halves
Vancouver Whitecaps: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33. New York City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Vancouver Whitecaps: 0-15 (3 goals). New York City: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps have a clear home advantage: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in home matches (80% wins), scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding only 0.6 goals per game with a goal difference of +10. New York City away record is 3–2–1 (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 1.5 goals per game and conceding 1.0, but have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches overall and are averaging 2.0 points per game. In terms of quality of chances Vancouver’s home average xG for is 1.79 versus NYC’s away average xG against of 1.59, and they register 6.4 shots on target per game compared to 5.0 for the visitors; a conversion rate of 17% versus 13% also favors the hosts. Defensively the hosts are strong — 60% clean sheets at home and an average xG against of 0.9 — while the visitors have no clean sheets on the road (CS% 0). Considering the combination of solid home defense, superior shot efficiency and home-field advantage, I predict a Vancouver win and assess the probabilities as 65% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams give a strong BTTS signal: seasonal rates are 75% for Vancouver and 100% for New York City, averaging about 88% occurrences of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Vancouver has BTTS at 40% and NYC 80%, indicating the visitors are more consistent recently. Offensively both sides create chances: xG 1.49 (Vancouver) vs 1.53 (NYC), on average 13.0 shots for Vancouver vs 11.5 for NYC and goals in the last 5 matches 10 (Vancouver) and 13 (NYC) with concessions 8 and 6. Additionally NYC has 0% clean sheets this season, Vancouver 25%, and Vancouver scores on average 2.75 goals seasonally vs NYC 1.5, which together increase the likelihood of goals on both sides. For these reasons I pick 'BTTS - Yes' with a probability of 85% vs 15% for 'No', because the combination of seasonal BTTS 75%/100%, the visitors' lack of clean sheets and similar xG (1.49 vs 1.53) gives a strong signal for BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Vancouver averages 2.75 goals at home, while New York City scores 1.50 away; both teams have 100% of season matches with over 1.5 goals, which strongly supports Over 1.5. xG shows similar values: Vancouver xG 1.49 versus xG conceded to NYC 1.59 gives an expected ~1.54 for the hosts, and NYC xG 1.53 with xG conceded to Vancouver 1.18 gives ~1.36 for the visitors, totaling roughly 2.90 expected goals. In the last 5 matches Vancouver averages 2.0, NYC 2.6, and both teams have 80% occurrences of Over 2.5, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. A Poisson model with λ=2.90 estimates ~79% for Over 1.5, ~56% for Over 2.5 and ~34% for Over 3.5; season Over 2.5 rates are 75% for Vancouver at home and 50% for NYC away, so the safest pick is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vancouver Whitecaps score an average of 2.75 goals per match versus 1.5 for New York City, and at half-time the home side average 1.5 goals versus 0.5 for the visitors (HT goals: 8 vs 2), which gives the Whitecaps an advantage in the first 45 minutes. The hosts average 13.0 shots and 6.25 on target compared to 11.5 and 5.0 for NYC, and with conversion rates of 21% vs 13% they are more efficient at converting chances. xG indicates similar offensive potential (1.49 vs 1.53), but the visitors have higher xG against (1.59 vs 1.18), meaning they concede more dangerous situations, which favors the hosts maintaining a lead at the break. In the second half Vancouver also scores more often (1.25 goals on average vs 1.0 for NYC), and both teams frequently score (BTTS 75% for hosts, 100% for visitors), so the most likely scenario is the home side leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1), which I assign a 39% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vancouver Whitecaps | New York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps · 2 pts / match - New York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
2.83 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps · 2.33 goals / match - New York City
Vancouver Whitecaps is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps · 1.17 goals / match - New York City
Vancouver Whitecaps scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
New York City scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Vancouver Whitecaps keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vancouver Whitecaps
Over / Under - New York City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps · 1.83 pts / match - New York City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vancouver Whitecaps - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Liga | New York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City?
The MLS match finished Vancouver Whitecaps 2:0 New York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.83 goals per game on average and New York City 2.33. The MLS average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Vancouver Whitecaps's matches and 83% of New York City's.
What form are Vancouver Whitecaps and New York City in?
Over the last 5 games Vancouver Whitecaps have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and New York City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.