Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus played Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.67 and concedes 3.67 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 100%, Harju Jalgpallikool 67%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 100%, Harju Jalgpallikool 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.00. Vaprus: 7.3 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 8.3.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 76-90+ (2 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win. Harju Jalgpallikool sits 3rd in the table while Vaprus is 10th; in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 11 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game versus the hosts’ 7 goals and 1.2 points per game. At home Vaprus averages 3.0 goals per game and posts a high TS% of 30%, but concedes 2.0 goals per game on average and has shipped 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 per game). Harju away averages 2.0 goals per game, concedes 1.0 away and has allowed 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per game), indicating superior defensive stability. xG metrics show Vaprus with an average xG for of 1.27 at home versus 1.51 xG for for the visitors on the road; combined with the finishing efficiency differential (30% vs 18%) this suggests the hosts can be dangerous, but overall Harju holds the edge based on better form, higher league position and the recent five-game goal balance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "both teams to score" scenario is favored by the data: Harju has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, Vaprus 50%, and in the last 5 matches both teams scored in 80% of games. Vaprus conceded 15 goals in the last 5 fixtures (avg 3.0 per game), while Harju scored 11 goals in those 5 matches (avg 2.2), increasing the likelihood of Harju finding the net. Seasonal goals scored averages are 1.5 for Vaprus and 2.0 for Harju, and goals conceded averages are 1.5 and 1.0 respectively, so both sides regularly score and concede. xG confirms Harju's attacking edge (xG 1.51 vs 1.08 for Vaprus), while high xG against values 2.35 (Vaprus) and 3.05 (Harju) indicate significant scoring opportunities for both teams; therefore I rate 80% for BTTS - Yes and 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics strongly point to a goals match: both teams have 100% of season matches over 1.5 goals (100% vs 100%), and the league average is 3.4 goals per game. Offensively Harju posts a season xG of 1.51 versus Vaprus 1.08, and in the last 5 matches both sides scored 11 and 7 goals respectively (2.2 vs 1.4 per game), confirming the visitors’ attacking edge. Combining recent xG (Vaprus 1.18, Harju 1.32) with xG conceded values (Harju conceded 2.30, Vaprus conceded 1.78) yields roughly 1.74 expected goals for Vaprus and 1.55 for Harju, totaling ~3.29 goals. Additionally, Vaprus have conceded 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 avg), while Harju allow more shots (11 vs 7) and have a season-long 100% of matches over 2.5, which increases the probability of Over 2.5 goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at 1.5 line); Over 2.5 remains attractive (~78% chance), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (~40% Over) due to Harju’s season-long 0% over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates the away team will lead at the break and win the match: the away side led at half-time in 100% of matches and have a 100% win rate this season, therefore the 2/2 scenario is most likely. Goal statistics confirm the away side’s advantage in the first half — an average of 2.0 first-half goals for the away team versus 0.5 for the home team, while over the full match the away team average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded compared to the home team’s 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. xG also favors the away team: average xG for the away side is 1.51 versus 1.08 for the home side, although more xG is generated against them (3.05), which means matches can be open and see goals after the break. Therefore I assign 49% to 2/2 as the primary pick, 18% to X/2 (draw at half-time, away win after), and 13% to 2/X (away lead at the break, draw at full-time), also taking into account that the away team do not keep clean sheets over full matches (0% clean sheets) and both teams score in 100% of their matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Vaprus · 2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 176% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.67 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.33 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Vaprus scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.67 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Concedes 1.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.33 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Vaprus 2 - 2 - 0 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 2, Harju Jalgpallikool won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Vaprus score 1.67 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Vaprus's matches and 67% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.