Estonia - MeistriliigaPärnu RannastaadionData current as of 01 September 2026

Vaprus vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vaprus vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vaprus play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion.

Current form

Vaprus: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nõmme United: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vaprus scores 1.38 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.68 and concedes 2.40. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vaprus 71%, Nõmme United 84%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 67%, Nõmme United 92%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Nõmme United has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.13. Vaprus: 8.5 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.5.

Match halves

Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67. Nõmme United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Vaprus: 16-30 (8 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 6.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match1.68
VaprusNõmme United
1.92Goals conceded / match2.4
VaprusNõmme United
46%Average possession47%
VaprusNõmme United
3.46Shots on target / match4.16
VaprusNõmme United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.5Shots per match11.48
VaprusNõmme United
3.46Shots on target4.16
VaprusNõmme United
16.2%Shot conversion14.6%
VaprusNõmme United
46%Possession47%
VaprusNõmme United
1.13xG for1.47
VaprusNõmme United
2xG against2.08
VaprusNõmme United

Shooting quality

Vaprus: Counter-attackingNõmme United: Counter-attacking
VaprusNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vaprus
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-12
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 2.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Nõmme United
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W4% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 2.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.68 goals / match - Nõmme United

Vaprus is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.92 goals / match - Vaprus · 2.4 goals / match - Nõmme United

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 25 matches).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

33Goals scored (season)42
VaprusNõmme United
46Goals conceded (season)60
VaprusNõmme United
3.29Average goals in match4.08
VaprusNõmme United
6Goals scored (last 5)3
VaprusNõmme United
11Goals conceded (last 5)14
VaprusNõmme United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal84%
VaprusNõmme United
33%2 goals40%
VaprusNõmme United
13%3 goals20%
VaprusNõmme United
4%4 goals8%
VaprusNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal100%
VaprusNõmme United
58%2 goals68%
VaprusNõmme United
25%3 goals40%
VaprusNõmme United
8%4 goals16%
VaprusNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time36%
VaprusNõmme United
8%BTTS in both halves4%
VaprusNõmme United
25%Scored in both halves20%
VaprusNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
VaprusNõmme United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
VaprusNõmme United
100%BTTS - last 560%
VaprusNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
VaprusNõmme United
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
VaprusNõmme United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
VaprusNõmme United

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
VaprusNõmme United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
VaprusNõmme United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
VaprusNõmme United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vaprus is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.88 pts / match - Nõmme United

Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading46% draw29% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
20% leading28% draw52% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)0.88
VaprusNõmme United
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.64
VaprusNõmme United
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.84
VaprusNõmme United
46%Clean sheet before half-time20%
VaprusNõmme United
42%No goal before half-time52%
VaprusNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
VaprusNõmme United
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
1.71Average goals (2nd half)2.24
VaprusNõmme United
33%Clean sheet after half-time24%
VaprusNõmme United
50%No goal after half-time44%
VaprusNõmme United

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W29% R42% P
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nõmme United - second-half results

32% W24% R44% P
22
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vaprus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
8
5
16-30
5
8
31-45
6
11
46-60
4
9
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
14
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
8
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

VaprusLigaNõmme United
Average goals in match 3.293.11 4.08
Both teams scored 71%59% 84%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%66% 92%
Clean sheets 21%22% 0%
Goal before half-time 75%75% 92%
Goal after half-time 88%89% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Vaprus 0 - 0 - 2 Nõmme United. Average goals 6.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Vaprus and Nõmme United play?

Vaprus face Nõmme United on 5 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Pärnu Rannastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Nõmme United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 0, Nõmme United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

Vaprus score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.68. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Vaprus's matches and 84% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Vaprus and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

The statistical background for Vaprus vs Nõmme United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.