Vaprus vs Paide: match statistics
Analysis of the last five matches clearly indicates an advantage for Paide. The visitors are recording impressive form with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (undefeated), scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3, which translates to 2.2 points per match. Vaprus, conversely, presents very poor disposition – only 1 win with 4 losses in the last 5 meetings, with a negative goal difference of 5:12 and merely 0.6 points per match. The difference in league position (10th place Vaprus vs 5th place Paide) and the huge disparity in form and offensive effectiveness unequivocally favor the guests. Considering all available statistical data, a victory for Paide is the most probable scenario for this match.
Vaprus vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 65%, Paide 70%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 65%, Paide 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Paide has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.14. Vaprus: 8.4 shots per match, Paide: 13.7.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-0-4. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Analysis of the last five matches clearly indicates an advantage for Paide. The visitors are recording impressive form with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (undefeated), scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3, which translates to 2.2 points per match. Vaprus, conversely, presents very poor disposition – only 1 win with 4 losses in the last 5 meetings, with a negative goal difference of 5:12 and merely 0.6 points per match. The difference in league position (10th place Vaprus vs 5th place Paide) and the huge disparity in form and offensive effectiveness unequivocally favor the guests. Considering all available statistical data, a victory for Paide is the most probable scenario for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vaprus · 2 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.6 goals / match - Paide
Paide is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.4 goals / match - Paide
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vaprus
Over / Under — Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.55 pts / match - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.11 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Vaprus 1 - 0 - 4 Paide. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 3:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Paide?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 1, Paide won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus score 1.40 goals per game on average and Paide 1.60. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Vaprus's matches and 70% of Paide's.
What form are Vaprus and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vaprus vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.