Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 65%, Tallinna FC Flora 42%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 65%, Tallinna FC Flora 79%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.14. Vaprus: 8.4 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-0-4. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Tallinna FC Flora is the clear favorite on paper: they have 9 wins this season versus Vaprus’s 6 and have scored 30 goals while conceding 15, whereas Vaprus have 19 scored and 29 conceded. In the last 5 matches Flora have won 4 and scored 14 goals (avg. 2.4 goals per match), while Vaprus have won 3 of 5 and scored 8 goals (2.0 goals per match). The visitors create significantly more chances: on the road they average 18 shots and 5.43 on target per match with xG 2.15, compared to 9.86 shots and 4 on target at home with xG 1.30, indicating higher quality of Flora’s chances. Vaprus concede on average 2.0 goals per home match and have conceded 8 goals in the last 5 games, whereas Flora concede 1.43 on the road and have only 4 conceded in the last 5; additionally Flora’s away possession is 61% versus Vaprus’s 49%. Considering the advantage in xG (2.15 vs 1.30), shots (18 vs 9.86), possession (61% vs 49%) and superior goal differential, I tip the away win and estimate their probability at about 60%, draw 20% and Vaprus win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Vaprus · 2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vaprus
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Flora is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Vaprus · 1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.11 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Vaprus 1 - 0 - 4 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 1:2 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Vaprus score 1.40 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 2.05. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Vaprus's matches and 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Vaprus and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The statistical background for Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.