Vaprus vs Tammeka: match statistics
Vaprus vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus played Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Vaprus: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Tammeka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.00 and concedes 2.83 goals per match. Tammeka scores 1.50 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 67%, Tammeka 67%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 67%, Tammeka 83%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tammeka has higher xG: 1.60 vs 0.90. Vaprus: 6.2 shots per match, Tammeka: 13.2.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Tammeka: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 76-90+ (2 goals). Tammeka: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for Tammeka because their superiority in quality of chances is clear — Tammeka averages 2.12 xG on the road versus Vaprus’s 1.2 xG at home. The visitors average 18 shots and 8 on target per away match, while the hosts record 8.5 shots and 3.5 on target; combined with 55% possession versus 48%, this indicates control of the game. Form also favors Tammeka: Vaprus have lost their last 5 matches, collecting 0 points from those 5, conceding 15 goals (3.0 per match) and scoring only 3 (0.6 per match). Tammeka have scored 9 goals in their last 5 (1.8 per match) and average 1.2 points per match over that period. Both teams are defensively vulnerable (Vaprus concede 2.0 goals at home, Tammeka 2.67 away) and neither side has recorded a clean sheet at home/away; aggregate average goals of 3.5 for the hosts and 4.33 for the visitors suggest a match with multiple goals. Considering the visitors’ 2.12 xG, higher shot volume and superior possession, I assign Tammeka a 55% chance, draw 25% and Vaprus 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 67% each (Vaprus 67%, Tammeka 67%), while the league average BTTS is 60%, indicating matches in this league frequently end with goals at both ends. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% for Vaprus and 80% for Tammeka; concurrently Vaprus scored 3 and conceded 15 goals in those five games (avg 0.6 scored, 3.0 conceded), and Tammeka 9 scored and 13 conceded (1.8 scored, 2.6 conceded). Tammeka generates more chances: xG_for 2.12 versus 1.09 for Vaprus, averaging 18 shots and 8 on target compared to 8.33/4 for the home side, which increases the likelihood Tammeka will score against Vaprus’s weaker defense (Vaprus has conceded 17 goals this season, avg 2.0). Additionally both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, and over2.5 is 67% for Vaprus and 100% for Tammeka, with a league average of 3.27 goals per match — this favors an open game with goals at both ends. Considering BTTS 67%/67%, L5 60%/80%, Tammeka’s high xG 2.12 and no clean sheets, I tip BTTS "Yes" with an estimated probability of 80% versus 20% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of approximately 3.29 expected goals, split as 1.33 for Vaprus and 1.96 for Tammeka; this stems from home xG 1.09 vs away xG 2.12 and xG against 1.8 (Vaprus) and 1.56 (Tammeka). In the last 5 matches Vaprus scored 3 and conceded 15 (avg. 0.6 scored, 3.0 conceded), while Tammeka scored 9 and conceded 13 (avg. 1.8 scored, 2.6 conceded). Seasonal metrics show a high share of Over 2.5 games: Tammeka has 100% of matches >2.5, Vaprus 67%, and the league average goals is 3.27 with 63% of matches >2.5. Additionally, Tammeka averages 18 shots and 8 on target (vs 8.33 and 4.0 for Vaprus) and both teams have 0% clean sheets, increasing goal likelihood. Therefore the strongest signal is the Over line at 2.5 — I recommend the Over 2.5 with an estimated probability of about 80%, because the expected 3.29 goals and season rates 100%/67% for >2.5 favor this option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time data clearly favor the visitors: Tammeka led at the break in 33% of matches, with an average half-time goals of 1.33 for Tammeka versus 0.00 for Vaprus; additionally the visitors’ xG is 2.12 against the hosts’ 1.09, indicating a clear advantage in chance creation. Vaprus are in poor form — 'lllll' (5 losses in 5 matches); over the last five games they averaged 0.6 goals scored and conceded 3.0, so their ability to mount a comeback is limited. Second-half statistics also favor the visitors: in the last five matches Tammeka averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded in the second half, whereas Vaprus conceded an average of 2.2 goals after the break in those five games, reducing the hosts’ chance of a turnaround. Both teams have a high BTTS of 67%, so I expect goals from both sides, but the overall xG advantage, higher shot volume (Tammeka 18.0 on average versus Vaprus 8.33) and the visitors’ better form suggest Tammeka will retain their lead until full-time. Based on this I assign the highest probability, 44%, to the 2/2 scenario (visitors lead at half-time and win), 20% to 2/X and 18% to X/2 as alternatives; other outcomes are unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tammeka is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.5 goals / match - Tammeka
Tammeka is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.83 goals / match - Vaprus · 2.33 goals / match - Tammeka
Vaprus scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Tammeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tammeka is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.83 pts / match - Tammeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Tammeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 94% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Vaprus 4 - 0 - 0 Tammeka. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Tammeka?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:0 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Tammeka?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 4, Tammeka won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Tammeka?
Vaprus score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Vaprus's matches and 67% of Tammeka's.
What form are Vaprus and Tammeka in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Tammeka 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Tammeka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vaprus vs Tammeka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.