Vaprus vs Trans: match statistics
Vaprus vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus played Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Trans: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.31 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Trans scores 0.76 and concedes 2.24. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 66%, Trans 45%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 66%, Trans 66%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Trans has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.20. Vaprus: 9.2 shots per match, Trans: 12.7.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.69. Trans: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 46-60 (9 goals). Trans: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-4. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 71%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vaprus are favourites primarily because of the gap between the teams’ home and away results: the hosts have won 43% of their home matches, while Trans have lost 86% of their away games. Vaprus average 1.64 goals at home, whereas Trans score just 0.36 goals per away match and fail to score in 71% of those games. The visitors concede an average of 2.86 goals away from home, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to exploit their defensive weaknesses. Both teams have been in poor form recently: Vaprus have won 1 of their last 5 matches, while Trans have yet to win, although the visitors’ away xG of 1.38, compared with Vaprus’ 1.22 at home, suggests they can create scoring chances. However, Trans’ low conversion rate of 3% away from home, compared with Vaprus’ 18% at home, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Trans’s lack of attacking output: the visitors average just 0.36 goals and failed to score in 71% of their matches. Their season BTTS rate is 29%, compared with 60% for Vaprus. Although the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals and their opponents have recorded an xG of 1.67 in their last five matches, Trans have scored just 4 goals over that period. Vaprus are more likely to find the net against a defence conceding an average of 2.86 goals, so the likelier outcome is that the visitors fail to score—not that neither team scores. BTTS - No means at least one team does not score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 93% of Vaprus matches and 79% of Trans matches. The hosts score an average of 1.13 goals, while the visitors concede as many as 2.86, giving Vaprus a clear chance to score more than once. Vaprus, in turn, concede an average of 1.67 goals, although Trans’s attacking potential is tempered by the fact that the visitors have failed to score in 71% of their matches. In their last five games, both teams conceded 2.4 and 2.0 goals per match, respectively, further supporting the pick for at least two goals. The 2.5 line has less backing, while Over 3.5 goals has landed in just 20% of Vaprus matches and 36% of Trans matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time looks slightly more likely than Vaprus taking an early lead: the hosts have failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 matches, although Trans were trailing at the break in 4 of their last 5 games. The visitors, however, have major problems scoring — they failed to find the net before half-time in 79% of their matches this season, limiting the likelihood of them taking the lead. Vaprus should gain the upper hand after the break, as Trans concede an average of 1.71 goals in second halves while scoring just 0.07 themselves. The difference in overall results this season also points to a Vaprus win: the hosts have won 27% of their matches, compared with just 7% for the visitors. Therefore, I rate a half-time draw followed by a Vaprus win as the most likely HT/FT outcome, although Vaprus leading at the break and going on to win remains a close alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Trans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vaprus is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.4 pts / match - Trans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vaprus is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Vaprus · 0.76 goals / match - Trans
Vaprus is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Vaprus · 2.24 goals / match - Trans
Vaprus scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 29 matches).
Trans scores in 52% of matches (15 of 29 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Trans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaprus is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Vaprus · 0.76 pts / match - Trans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Trans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Trans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 3.14 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 66% | 66% | • 66% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Vaprus 1 - 2 - 4 Trans. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 71% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Trans?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 2:2 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Trans?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 1, Trans won 4 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Trans?
Vaprus score 1.31 goals per game on average and Trans 0.76. The Meistriliiga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Vaprus's matches and 45% of Trans's.
What form are Vaprus and Trans in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Trans 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Trans?
The statistical background for Vaprus vs Trans — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.