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Varaždin vs Gorica: match statistics
Varaždin vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varaždin play Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match time may change. Statistics remain available as match context.
Current form
Varaždin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gorica: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varaždin scores 1.26 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varaždin 63%, Gorica 56%. Over 2.5: Varaždin 52%, Gorica 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Varaždin has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.38. Varaždin: 12.1 shots per match, Gorica: 11.6.
Match halves
Varaždin: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.56. Gorica: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Varaždin: 31-45+ (8 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.6 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varaždin scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Gorica scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Varaždin · 1.52 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varaždin
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.71 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Varaždin 1 - 1 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.