Várda SE vs Debrecen: match statistics
Várda SE vs Debrecen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played Debrecen in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Várda SE: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Debrecen: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Debrecen scores 1.46 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 46%, Debrecen 57%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 46%, Debrecen 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Debrecen has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.28. Várda SE: 10.8 shots per match, Debrecen: 13.9.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.61. Debrecen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (8 goals). Debrecen: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Debrecen holds a clear advantage in season-long metrics and league position: 4th vs 7th for Várda, and 41 goals this season compared to the hosts' 33. Away from home Debrecen averages 1.57 goals per match with a positive goal difference of +7, while Várda at home scores 1.43 goals and has a home goal difference of +2. Defensively Debrecen concedes 1.07 goals away, better than Várda at home (1.29), but their away xG against is 1.64 versus Várda’s home xG against of 1.37, indicating the visitors allow more high-quality chances despite conceding fewer goals in practice. Offensive metrics are balanced: Várda at home averages 12.0 shots per game with 4.14 on target, and Debrecen away 12.14 shots with 4.21 on target; conversion rates are 12% for Várda and 13% for Debrecen, and the visitors scoreless rate is lower (14% vs 21%). Considering the higher goal tally (41 vs 33), superior away goal difference (+7 vs +2) and lower share of matches without a goal, I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 57% and 60% respectively, and 57%/60% in their last 5 matches, while the league average is 61%, which strongly favors a both-teams-to-score scenario. Debrecen scores on average 1.57 goals per match (41 goals this season) with xG_for 1.47, whereas Várda averages 1.36 goals scored and concedes 1.36 per match this season (33 scored, 42 conceded) with xG_against 1.53, so the visitors have realistic chances to find the net. Várda generates xG_for 1.74 from 15.64 shots and 4.93 on target, while Debrecen shows a higher finishing rate of 13% on 12.14 attempts, suggesting both teams will create and convert opportunities. Additionally, Várda has only a 14% clean sheet rate versus Debrecen’s 36%, and both sides concede on average 1.36 and 1.07 goals per game respectively, making a shutout unlikely. Considering these figures I assess BTTS probability at 72% vs 28% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
For the forecast I used a combination of seasonal xG and form from the last five matches: Várda has an offensive xG of 1.74 versus Debrecen’s allowed xG of 1.64, yielding about 1.69 expected goals for the home side; Debrecen has an offensive xG of 1.47 versus Várda’s allowed xG of 1.53, yielding about 1.50 for the visitors. Averaging these values with form over the last 5 matches (Várda average xG 1.18, Debrecen 1.72, and opponent xG allowed 1.55 and 1.34 respectively) produces a forecast of 1.48 goals for Várda and 1.56 for Debrecen, totaling ~3.04 goals. Seasonal stats confirm a tendency toward goals: Over 1.5 occurs for Várda in 71% of matches and for Debrecen in 79%, while Over 2.5 occurs in 50% and 57% of matches respectively. A Poisson model on the combined mean of 3.04 yields roughly an 81% chance for Over 1.5, about 59% for Over 2.5 and about 36% for Over 3.5, indicating Over 1.5 is the strongest signal. Additionally both teams have BTTS in 57% of matches and very high Over 0.5 shares (Várda 100%, Debrecen 93%), which reinforces the expectation of at least two goals and justifies selecting Over 1.5 as the primary bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back a Half-Time draw with Debrecen winning Full-Time (X/2). A draw at the break is common: Várda were level at half-time in 8 matches (57%), Debrecen in 6 (43%); Várda led at the break only 3 times (21%) and the visitors 4 times (29%). Debrecen clearly dominate after the break: second-half goal difference is +7 for the visitors versus -2 for Várda, the visitors collected 28 points in second halves against the hosts’ 17, and they win the second half in 56% of cases versus 28% for Várda. Seasonal stats confirm the visitors’ edge: Debrecen average 1.57 goals scored and concede 1.07 (difference +0.50), whereas Várda average 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded (difference 0.00); shot conversion is 13% for Debrecen versus 9% for the hosts. The first half should be low scoring — Várda average 0.50 goals at half-time, Debrecen 0.57, and both-teams-to-score by half is rare (7% for the hosts, 21% for the visitors); therefore an HT draw with a turnaround after the break is the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Debrecen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Várda SE is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.2 pts / match - Debrecen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Debrecen is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.46 goals / match - Debrecen
Debrecen is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.21 goals / match - Debrecen
Várda SE scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Debrecen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Debrecen scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Debrecen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Debrecen is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.25 pts / match - Debrecen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Debrecen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
Debrecen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Debrecen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.68 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Várda SE 1 - 0 - 1 Debrecen. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Debrecen?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 0:0 Debrecen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Debrecen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Debrecen won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Debrecen?
Várda SE score 1.18 goals per game on average and Debrecen 1.46. The NB I average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Várda SE's matches and 57% of Debrecen's.
What form are Várda SE and Debrecen in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Debrecen 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Debrecen?
The statistical background for Várda SE vs Debrecen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.